nklr
0x4990f93830b657bd8f374645b3667da52e80d316
- Realised P&L
- $91.20
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $88.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.62at 0.180Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$20.71at 0.420Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
- +$9.63at 0.760Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$6.40at 0.570Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
- +$1.11at 0.900Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 21:55 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 21:49 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.88 |
| 10-29 21:48 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0779999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:48 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 08:40 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0105062081 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 16:15 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 16:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 15:56 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 15:47 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 15:09 | OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |