0x651A84eC4AAB705bB3d8f4c831ef46eCdbC622E9-1763158430545
0x651a84ec4aab705bb3d8f4c831ef46ecdbc622e9
- Realised P&L
- $815.46
- Volume
- $48.0k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $494.81
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$543.52at 0.046Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
- +$200.77at 0.153Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
- +$141.45at 0.432Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
- +$111.69at 0.632Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
- +$102.26at 0.601Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 08:03 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | SELL | 0.123 | $1.22 |
| 10-31 08:03 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | SELL | 0.123 | $2.46 |
| 10-31 08:02 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | SELL | 0.123 | $2.46 |
| 10-31 08:02 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | SELL | 0.124 | $2.48 |
| 10-08 07:15 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-08 07:10 | Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-07 06:28 | Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-07 06:27 | Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 10-05 19:30 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-30 20:40 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-19 10:11 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0229952 | $1.15 |
| 09-19 08:43 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.073 | $4.38 |
| 09-19 08:41 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.41 |
| 09-16 21:34 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 09-16 21:30 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |