PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x651A84eC4AAB705bB3d8f4c831ef46eCdbC622E9-1763158430545

0x651a84ec4aab705bb3d8f4c831ef46ecdbc622e9

Realised P&L
$815.46
Volume
$48.0k
Markets traded
207
Open portfolio
$494.81

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded207
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 08:03Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?SELL0.123$1.22
10-31 08:03Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?SELL0.123$2.46
10-31 08:02Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?SELL0.123$2.46
10-31 08:02Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?SELL0.124$2.48
10-08 07:15Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.24$2.40
10-08 07:10Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?BUY0.07$1.40
10-07 06:28Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?BUY0.13$1.30
10-07 06:27Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?SELL0.87$8.70
10-05 19:30Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$4.80
09-30 20:40Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$3.20
09-19 10:11OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?BUY0.0229952$1.15
09-19 08:43Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.073$4.38
09-19 08:41Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.066$0.41
09-16 21:34Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.45$2.70
09-16 21:30Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.07$2.80