PolyBot

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Traders

Diplopia2

0x272c7b12c4b372b6d0931aed641b1e4eec0f7f07

Realised P&L
$-120.69
Volume
$852.2k
Markets traded
886
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded886
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1680.135$675.00−$162.99
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1200.170$510.00+$150.00
Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0010.027$440.25+$423.97
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2360.252$377.86+$22.85
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0240.101$298.95+$227.70
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0430.043$133.99+$1.02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.4050.460$92.00+$10.98
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? · Yes0.3500.115$74.98−$153.22
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? · Yes0.2080.115$59.90−$48.36
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? · Yes0.4400.400$38.00−$3.80
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.175$35.00+$1.00
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0120.015$33.02+$6.84
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? · Yes0.2000.155$24.80−$7.20
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? · Yes0.2300.195$23.59−$4.24
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? · Yes0.3300.225$22.50−$10.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:08Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?BUY0.002$0.87
11-01 14:44U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?SELL0.0035714286$1.25
11-01 14:40Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.26$130.00
11-01 14:39Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$149.85
11-01 13:25Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.262$91.70
11-01 13:21Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?BUY0.001$12.87
11-01 04:21Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?BUY0.2$32.00
10-31 23:01U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.4391428571$153.70
10-31 18:28Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0110141965$3.88
10-31 17:09Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?SELL0.2581435$103.26
10-31 12:31Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.392$39.20
10-31 12:29Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.386555$38.66
10-30 16:29Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$34.00
10-30 12:58Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?SELL0.2487740806$142.05
10-30 12:57Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.3500953663$380.95