Diplopia2
0x272c7b12c4b372b6d0931aed641b1e4eec0f7f07
- Realised P&L
- $-120.69
- Volume
- $852.2k
- Markets traded
- 886
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded886
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$779.34at 0.433Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?
- +$518.00at 0.150US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$503.77at 0.495Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$418.30at 0.710Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
- +$416.28at 0.670Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:08 | Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.87 |
| 11-01 14:44 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.0035714286 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 14:40 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.26 | $130.00 |
| 11-01 14:39 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 11-01 13:25 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.262 | $91.70 |
| 11-01 13:21 | Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.001 | $12.87 |
| 11-01 04:21 | Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $32.00 |
| 10-31 23:01 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.4391428571 | $153.70 |
| 10-31 18:28 | Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0110141965 | $3.88 |
| 10-31 17:09 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.2581435 | $103.26 |
| 10-31 12:31 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.392 | $39.20 |
| 10-31 12:29 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.386555 | $38.66 |
| 10-30 16:29 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 10-30 12:58 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.2487740806 | $142.05 |
| 10-30 12:57 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.3500953663 | $380.95 |