Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.15 to 0.31. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	482	482
0.22	988	1,471
0.23	490	1,960
0.24	509	2,470
0.26	492	2,962
0.27	55	3,017
0.30	5	3,022
0.34	5	3,027
0.65	5	3,032
0.93	5	3,037
0.94	5	3,042
0.95	12	3,054

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	960	960
0.19	1,480	2,440
0.18	731	3,171
0.17	159	3,330
0.15	192	3,522
0.14	2,156	5,678
0.12	20	5,698
0.11	137	5,835
0.10	347	6,182
0.07	592	6,774
0.06	333	7,108
0.05	400	7,508

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	960	960
0.81	1,480	2,440
0.82	731	3,171
0.83	159	3,330
0.85	192	3,522
0.86	2,156	5,678
0.88	20	5,698
0.89	137	5,835
0.90	347	6,182
0.93	592	6,774
0.94	333	7,108
0.95	400	7,508

Spread0.01Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	482	482
0.78	988	1,471
0.77	490	1,960
0.76	509	2,470
0.74	492	2,962
0.73	55	3,017
0.70	5	3,022
0.66	5	3,027
0.35	5	3,032
0.07	5	3,037
0.06	5	3,042
0.05	12	3,054

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
chito9	Yes	1,429.19
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	1,395.31
Donintello	Yes	1,045.01
HerrieDavis	Yes	477.16
DistilledAppleJuice	Yes	462.94
SlayerH	Yes	426.54
Dr.PNL	Yes	384.34
aenews2	Yes	364.64
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	350.57
jovidalao	Yes	327.88
from00	Yes	270.27
0x5f57e2b5810c626276497Fa26C5ef8b86349C270-1767682149822	Yes	269
GenaTheBondKilIer	Yes	218.21
Mithrandir.	Yes	200
coconutsteaksauce	Yes	200
0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332	Yes	200
qv7mrx29kptf4z	Yes	186.51
0xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-1773254929104	Yes	156.25
lissartter	Yes	155
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	Yes	146.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:55:10	BUY	Yes	0.21	18	$3.78
01:15:21	SELL	Yes	0.22	190	$41.78
01:15:21	BUY	No	0.8	16	$13.04
01:15:21	BUY	No	0.78	20	$15.60
01:15:19	BUY	No	0.7899999969	16	$12.88
01:15:19	BUY	No	0.78	40	$31.20
00:34:16	BUY	Yes	0.23	5	$1.15
00:17:30	SELL	No	0.77	0	$0.08
00:01:06	BUY	Yes	0.24	20	$4.76
00:01:06	SELL	No	0.77	80	$61.60
00:01:06	BUY	Yes	0.24	20	$4.74
00:01:04	BUY	Yes	0.23	40	$9.20
00:01:04	BUY	Yes	0.2299999995	20	$4.56
00:55:39	BUY	Yes	0.23	20	$4.60
19:15:36	BUY	No	0.77	20	$15.40
17:56:01	SELL	No	0.75	216	$162.28
17:49:55	SELL	No	0.8005418619	196	$157.19
17:49:55	BUY	Yes	0.22	30	$6.60
17:49:55	BUY	Yes	0.22	20	$4.40
12:11:05	BUY	No	0.8199999243	2	$1.95
08:20:20	SELL	No	0.81	40	$32.40
08:10:14	SELL	No	0.79	20	$15.79
08:10:11	BUY	Yes	0.16	152	$24.27
08:10:10	BUY	Yes	0.17	20	$3.40
08:10:10	BUY	Yes	0.17	20	$3.40