PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SlayerH

0x17e42a96d19502f341e5657b57bd2309f5ef4d33

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$338.0k
Markets traded
455
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded455
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1230.115$1.2k$80.65
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · Yes0.7350.858$444.60+$63.45
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5430.575$288.18+$16.18
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.3230.525$157.50+$60.50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? · Yes0.6200.705$141.00+$17.00
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.3550.255$108.77$42.72
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.165$91.67$8.33
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No0.3500.840$83.99+$49.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.2100.125$77.96$53.01
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? · Yes0.3000.335$67.00+$7.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4250.655$65.50+$23.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.3000.285$57.00$3.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0800.095$57.00+$9.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? · No0.4850.766$50.59+$18.55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1390.105$42.20$13.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:37Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1699999997$20.00
09-09 16:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.775$74.40
09-09 16:55Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.774$3.87
09-08 15:52Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.4$2.00
09-08 08:38Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.21$67.97
09-08 08:36Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.51$25.50
09-05 20:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$100.00
09-04 17:50Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?SELL0.4$40.00
09-04 06:42Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.39$39.00
09-04 06:35Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?BUY0.45$54.00
09-04 06:25Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$12.23
09-03 12:16Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.38$6.51
09-03 07:00Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.011$0.28
09-03 05:37Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?BUY0.49$24.99
09-03 05:37Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?BUY0.47$7.05