PolyBot

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Traders

DistilledAppleJuice

0xe238dc271520765ae22b528a36bb32e96defd3fc

Realised P&L
$-388.91
Volume
$17.8k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$603.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9320.976$438.98+$19.48
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.1270.205$94.90+$35.98
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.0760.055$60.88−$23.74
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0450.033$9.01−$3.52
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$17.20
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.4540.000$0.00−$36.30
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7790.000$0.00−$722.07
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$76.00
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$40.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 01:26Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?SELL0.35$70.00
07-17 01:25Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?BUY0.09$27.45
07-13 17:57Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.13$26.00
06-21 15:06Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?SELL0.3$56.01
05-31 11:23China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.78$48.22
05-29 17:14China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.76$228.00
05-29 17:12Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.99$396.00
05-29 16:50China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.76$152.00
05-03 07:25Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.7699999877$5.00
05-03 05:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-03 05:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.491124013$95.17
05-03 05:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.4728847864$25.00
05-03 05:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.461231073$25.00
05-03 05:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00
04-11 12:24Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 12?BUY0.063$1.39