aenews2
0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
- Realised P&L
- $2.21M
- Volume
- $253.14M
- Markets traded
- 3,184
- Open portfolio
- $145.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,184
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.16Mat 0.500Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
- +$415.4kat 0.255Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$333.3kat 0.333Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$305.1kat 0.001Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
- +$297.6kat 0.977US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:21 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.7041396685 | $14.3k |
| 09-16 04:21 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $36.50 |
| 09-15 23:23 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.609125 | $974.60 |
| 09-15 14:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.7k |
| 09-15 01:14 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $796.00 |
| 09-14 18:49 | Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.68 |
| 09-13 20:07 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.2k |
| 09-13 19:42 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.02 | $69.18 |
| 09-13 08:39 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.2k |
| 09-12 11:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $64.47 |
| 09-11 23:41 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-11 23:41 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7878457505 | $36.06 |
| 09-11 23:31 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6283952422 | $438.49 |
| 09-11 22:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.81 | $32.2k |
| 09-11 22:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.81 | $9.6k |