PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

aenews2

0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1

Realised P&L
$2.23M
Volume
$248.75M
Markets traded
3,065
Open portfolio
$309.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,065
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1850.205$77.3k+$7.6k
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.6851.000$43.0k+$13.6k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.255$21.8k+$2.8k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m? · No0.9991.000$20.1k+$10.05
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? · No0.9991.000$20.0k+$10.02
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m? · No0.9991.000$20.0k+$10.01
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m? · No0.9971.000$20.0k+$50.10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.5890.685$16.7k+$2.3k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m? · No0.9911.000$10.0k+$85.40
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.9100.985$6.6k+$498.13
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.8180.665$5.3k$1.2k
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9460.967$4.9k+$109.00
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.7880.633$3.5k$849.21
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.5510.491$3.4k$416.67
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2070.110$3.3k$2.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:31Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4854978105$241.69
08-02 22:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.496461618$768.32
08-02 21:59Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.479$110.12
08-02 21:44Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.5883061566$2.6k
08-02 21:30Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.19$3.80
08-02 21:26Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.9946642984$1.1k
08-02 15:23Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?BUY0.991$105.17
08-02 06:47Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4676282192$141.09
08-02 06:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1847032505$69.4k
08-02 06:12Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?BUY0.5533284516$124.68
08-02 05:05Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?BUY0.999$20.0k
08-02 05:05Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?BUY0.999$20.0k
08-02 05:05Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?BUY0.999$20.1k
08-02 05:05Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?BUY0.997$19.9k
08-02 05:04Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?BUY0.991$10.0k