aenews2
0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
- Realised P&L
- $2.36M
- Volume
- $256.37M
- Markets traded
- 3,323
- Open portfolio
- $273.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,323
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$402.9kat 0.257Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$307.6kat 1.000Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
- +$305.1kat 0.001Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
- +$297.6kat 0.977US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$288.3kat 0.003MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:57 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.05 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.999 | $358.25 |
| 11-01 13:00 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.9386651982 | $10.7k |
| 11-01 12:36 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.931 | $929.15 |
| 11-01 10:40 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.9213933072 | $3.8k |
| 11-01 10:37 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.8874948148 | $599.06 |
| 11-01 04:23 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.8976579741 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 01:19 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $695.40 |
| 11-01 01:19 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.9124238924 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 22:41 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.2136013958 | $59.68 |
| 10-31 10:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.3865259707 | $22.6k |
| 10-31 10:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.3628038807 | $17.5k |
| 10-31 09:21 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $377.30 |
| 10-30 22:26 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1 | $26.1k |
| 10-30 11:21 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.004 | $40.00 |