PolyBot

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Traders

jovidalao

0x95a02722a64bfba7cd2f3ad4fee341064f36dfdf

Realised P&L
$187.50
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$197.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.2120.205$67.22−$2.44
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8500.565$61.60−$31.07
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.5930.630$40.32+$2.36
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · OpenAI0.2000.080$13.73−$20.59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.305$12.20−$7.80
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3400.235$2.35−$1.05
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2040.000$0.00−$14.27
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$31.68
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$0.60
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$13.60
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$14.20
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$0.80
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27? · No0.0330.000$0.00−$7.18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$6.20
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 12:19Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?BUY0.34$3.40
10-25 23:00Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6$12.00
10-25 23:00Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.59$25.96
10-25 22:59Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.754$0.01
10-25 22:56Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?SELL0.24$60.82
10-22 08:33Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.15$58.70
10-18 09:44Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?BUY0.07$21.64
10-18 09:37Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0493236132$4.50
10-15 10:28Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?BUY0.09$31.68
10-15 10:26Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.85$92.68
10-15 10:15Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.072$2.15
10-11 22:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.72$21.59
10-11 14:28Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.21$117.87
10-11 14:25Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.31$6.20
10-11 12:25Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.6031377471$76.89