jovidalao
0x95a02722a64bfba7cd2f3ad4fee341064f36dfdf
- Realised P&L
- $187.50
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $197.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.59at 0.023Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$37.35at 0.308Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
- +$33.20at 0.170Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$32.05at 0.359Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$20.00at 0.065Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 12:19 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-25 23:00 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-25 23:00 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $25.96 |
| 10-25 22:59 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.754 | $0.01 |
| 10-25 22:56 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $60.82 |
| 10-22 08:33 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $58.70 |
| 10-18 09:44 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $21.64 |
| 10-18 09:37 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0493236132 | $4.50 |
| 10-15 10:28 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $31.68 |
| 10-15 10:26 | Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $92.68 |
| 10-15 10:15 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.072 | $2.15 |
| 10-11 22:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.59 |
| 10-11 14:28 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $117.87 |
| 10-11 14:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 10-11 12:25 | Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.6031377471 | $76.89 |