PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GenaTheBondKilIer

0xd6321c049c527e8a622d6aa35f514ae74f798afb

Realised P&L
$28.7k
Volume
$2.01M
Markets traded
1,283
Open portfolio
$8.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,283
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on September 30, 2026? · No0.5910.925$510.79+$184.22
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4720.815$470.18+$197.60
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.966$386.40+$18.40
Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $4 million? · No0.7760.919$335.39+$52.46
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5920.615$278.16+$10.51
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1580.259$244.72+$94.97
Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30? · Over0.4390.485$219.17+$20.97
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? · No0.7510.871$217.63+$29.93
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0620.083$202.97+$50.64
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · No0.3710.320$195.81$31.04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5900.555$194.25$12.25
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.665$187.84+$83.33
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026? · No0.6940.650$184.70$12.42
Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30? · Over0.3240.330$156.93+$2.95
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? · No0.7260.830$156.89+$19.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:10Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?BUY0.37$11.10
09-16 21:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.27$78.30
09-16 21:11Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0802410256$78.23
09-16 20:29Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.7760784314$118.74
09-16 20:28Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.21$42.00
09-16 20:21Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.1885319898$38.54
09-16 20:20Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.9142133333$48.00
09-16 20:19Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.7750653465$78.28
09-16 20:17Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.2583611111$37.20
09-16 20:17Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.1303617391$28.48
09-16 06:17Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30?BUY0.9614210526$146.14
09-16 06:16Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Over/Under $182.61 on September 30?BUY0.17$33.14
09-15 21:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.991$1.00
09-15 20:28Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.6322057526$286.62
09-15 20:27Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.0818036007$5.00