0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332
0xd10a59fcc18955eeaebd06d1234cc3bd1e3fb9cd
- Realised P&L
- $-164.82
- Volume
- $42.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,995
- Open portfolio
- $750.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,995
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.45at 0.2905kt meteor strike in 2026?
- +$5.25at 0.560Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$4.95at 0.440Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.57at 0.341Will Yvette Cooper be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$2.49at 0.470Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:55 | Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-03 04:13 | Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 08-03 03:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 01:11 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-03 01:05 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 22:43 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-02 19:53 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.869 | $4.34 |
| 08-02 18:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-02 18:39 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-02 14:59 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-02 09:17 | Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? | SELL | 0.135 | $0.68 |
| 08-02 06:55 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-02 05:03 | Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 08-02 04:27 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 03:53 | Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |