0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332
0xd10a59fcc18955eeaebd06d1234cc3bd1e3fb9cd
- Realised P&L
- $-396.10
- Volume
- $106.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,466
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,466
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.81at 0.800Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$6.53at 0.620Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?
- +$6.45at 0.2905kt meteor strike in 2026?
- +$5.66at 0.880Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- +$5.08at 0.560Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:03 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.806 | $12.11 |
| 09-17 15:23 | Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 09-17 15:05 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-17 12:41 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 07:29 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.53 | $8.99 |
| 09-17 04:05 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.52 |
| 09-17 03:17 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.28 |
| 09-17 02:37 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 09-16 22:35 | Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-16 20:59 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $4.43 |
| 09-16 20:45 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $7.73 |
| 09-16 20:41 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $24.36 |
| 09-16 20:15 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-16 03:15 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.80 |