PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332

0xd10a59fcc18955eeaebd06d1234cc3bd1e3fb9cd

Realised P&L
$-396.10
Volume
$106.4k
Markets traded
3,466
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,466
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.8500.815$40.75$1.75
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.7100.715$35.75+$0.25
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.8300.705$35.25$6.25
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? · Yes0.8600.815$32.60$1.80
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.7400.650$32.50$4.50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8500.645$32.25$10.25
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.615$30.75$0.75
Will Miami FL have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7800.785$29.05+$0.18
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.725$29.01$0.20
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.6500.665$26.60+$0.60
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.505$25.25$3.75
Will Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.6200.625$25.00+$0.20
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7100.605$24.20$4.20
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.6500.585$23.40$2.60
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.5000.460$23.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:03Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?SELL0.806$12.11
09-17 15:23Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?SELL0.79$15.80
09-17 15:05Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.79$7.90
09-17 15:01Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.79$7.90
09-17 12:41Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$7.00
09-17 07:29Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?SELL0.53$8.99
09-17 04:05Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.24$3.52
09-17 03:17Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.24$1.28
09-17 02:37Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.24$7.20
09-16 22:35Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?SELL0.62$6.20
09-16 20:59Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.52$4.43
09-16 20:45Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.87$7.73
09-16 20:41Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.87$24.36
09-16 20:15Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.52$2.60
09-16 03:15Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.57$4.80