PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

svuxvwhxbxb

0xac6df7373c5a483443054e7ae8ac6d9eca7d0fcb

Realised P&L
$-315.04
Volume
$19.1k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.6720.557$1.1k$220.08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.5070.375$416.56$146.44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? · No0.2760.281$50.76+$0.76
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0990.051$14.40$13.17
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7300.725$9.93$0.07
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.233$8.20$0.98
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.5000.295$5.90$4.10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0350.020$2.83$2.17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.1200.065$2.71$2.29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0190.017$1.74$0.26
Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0190.007$1.57$2.43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.011$1.05+$0.05
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1400.125$0.89$0.11
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$0.86$0.14
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.1340.135$0.13+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:22Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0190739415$4.00
08-04 05:44Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?BUY0.2763123039$50.00
08-03 16:31Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2602911269$9.18
08-03 16:31Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0985699474$27.57
08-03 09:31Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.49$24.55
08-03 05:01Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.3901698751$100.00
08-03 04:49Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.134$0.13
08-02 15:39Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.029$8.70
08-02 12:24Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.6451406936$300.00
08-02 09:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.449999998$100.00
08-02 09:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.449999998$100.00
08-02 09:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.449999998$100.00
08-02 09:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.449999998$100.00
08-02 08:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.58$203.00
08-01 14:45Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.65$33.80