svuxvwhxbxb
0xac6df7373c5a483443054e7ae8ac6d9eca7d0fcb
- Realised P&L
- $-315.04
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.70at 0.790Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
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- +$90.45at 0.717Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$30.64at 0.583Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.00at 0.580US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:22 | Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0190739415 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 05:44 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2763123039 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2602911269 | $9.18 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0985699474 | $27.57 |
| 08-03 09:31 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.55 |
| 08-03 05:01 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.3901698751 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 04:49 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.134 | $0.13 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $8.70 |
| 08-02 12:24 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6451406936 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 09:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 08:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $203.00 |
| 08-01 14:45 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $33.80 |