PolyBot

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Traders

Donintello

0x1d38541906e1f4e23774f27d2b82b41552d12078

Realised P&L
$419.99
Volume
$359.4k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4410.305$388.12$172.68
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0130.009$345.76$165.60
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1810.188$219.96+$8.05
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.0880.075$179.50$30.19
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4800.436$152.77$15.22
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.2240.255$138.98+$17.13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1690.065$135.70$216.66
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0160.004$78.39$199.07
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1600.255$76.50+$28.50
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0700.111$69.62+$25.37
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1530.167$52.71+$4.52
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7380.755$45.30+$1.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.7600.825$41.25+$3.25
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0320.021$38.70$19.20
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.2140.275$37.56+$8.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 22:16Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.004$8.96
09-10 11:55Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.025$5.07
09-10 11:55Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.025$22.43
09-09 20:38Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.007$14.03
09-05 17:20Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.145$5.80
08-28 21:44Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.026$5.35
08-26 16:23Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.77$15.40
08-26 16:21Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8$16.00
08-25 07:33Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.092$1.84
08-17 07:12Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.1$8.00
08-15 21:30Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0686234261$2.34
08-15 21:26Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1564588984$22.61
08-15 21:26Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.87$96.67
08-13 08:03Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.06
08-12 08:59ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: George Lazarov vs Gabriele PennafortiSELL0.33$11.77