Donintello
0x1d38541906e1f4e23774f27d2b82b41552d12078
- Realised P&L
- $419.99
- Volume
- $359.4k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$477.83at 0.403Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$417.59at 0.318Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
- +$358.49at 0.360Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$245.13at 0.139Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$210.75at 0.330Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:16 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.004 | $8.96 |
| 09-10 11:55 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.025 | $5.07 |
| 09-10 11:55 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.025 | $22.43 |
| 09-09 20:38 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.007 | $14.03 |
| 09-05 17:20 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.145 | $5.80 |
| 08-28 21:44 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.026 | $5.35 |
| 08-26 16:23 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-26 16:21 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 08-25 07:33 | Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.092 | $1.84 |
| 08-17 07:12 | Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $8.00 |
| 08-15 21:30 | Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0686234261 | $2.34 |
| 08-15 21:26 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1564588984 | $22.61 |
| 08-15 21:26 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.87 | $96.67 |
| 08-13 08:03 | Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 08-12 08:59 | ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: George Lazarov vs Gabriele Pennaforti | SELL | 0.33 | $11.77 |