PolyBot

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Traders

coconutsteaksauce

0xd04e0676ea998bb7d5ef405960edd9b273cb41b8

Realised P&L
$-13.5k
Volume
$503.9k
Markets traded
460
Open portfolio
$30.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded460
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.971$5.2k+$57.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9370.972$4.3k+$155.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.875$2.6k−$75.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9530.980$1.8k+$49.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? · No0.8850.885$1.8k+$0.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$1.7k+$9.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8550.835$1.7k−$40.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7720.745$1.5k−$55.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9390.961$1.4k+$33.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.915$920.49−$15.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6430.585$877.50−$87.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? · No0.8200.815$815.00−$5.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7400.795$795.00+$55.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6700.705$704.99+$35.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? · No0.6950.685$685.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:41Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$425.00
11-01 15:41Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$375.00
11-01 15:39Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$880.00
11-01 15:37Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?BUY0.8$107.67
11-01 15:37Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?BUY0.7$140.00
11-01 15:36Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.89$890.00
11-01 15:35Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?BUY0.82$820.00
11-01 15:35Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?BUY0.54$269.99
11-01 15:34Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?BUY0.7$210.00
10-31 22:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3?BUY0.919$459.50
10-31 21:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.93$21.26
10-31 21:31Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.98$294.00
10-31 15:21Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.969$1.5k
10-31 15:21Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9780285333$7.3k
10-25 00:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?BUY0.75$45.00