coconutsteaksauce
0xd04e0676ea998bb7d5ef405960edd9b273cb41b8
- Realised P&L
- $-13.5k
- Volume
- $503.9k
- Markets traded
- 460
- Open portfolio
- $30.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded460
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$603.25at 0.783Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
- +$602.93at 0.849Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$483.85at 0.891Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?
- +$466.99at 0.870Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27?
- +$392.77at 0.820Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 11-01 15:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $375.00 |
| 11-01 15:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November? | BUY | 0.8 | $107.67 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 11-01 15:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | BUY | 0.89 | $890.00 |
| 11-01 15:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? | BUY | 0.82 | $820.00 |
| 11-01 15:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? | BUY | 0.54 | $269.99 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? | BUY | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 10-31 22:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.919 | $459.50 |
| 10-31 21:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $21.26 |
| 10-31 21:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $294.00 |
| 10-31 15:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 15:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9780285333 | $7.3k |
| 10-25 00:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.75 | $45.00 |