Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-04
Rewards: 20 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.07 to 0.59. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	9,473	9,473
0.08	6,755	16,228
0.20	5	16,233
0.23	40	16,273
0.24	33	16,306
0.28	13	16,319
0.29	45	16,364
0.30	30	16,394
0.31	50	16,444
0.32	20	16,464
0.42	100	16,564
0.43	30	16,594

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	2,599	2,599
0.04	23	2,622
0.03	5	2,627
0.02	19	2,646
0.01	310	2,956

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	2,599	2,599
0.96	23	2,622
0.97	5	2,627
0.98	19	2,646
0.99	310	2,956

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	9,473	9,473
0.92	6,755	16,228
0.80	5	16,233
0.77	40	16,273
0.76	33	16,306
0.72	13	16,319
0.71	45	16,364
0.70	30	16,394
0.69	50	16,444
0.68	20	16,464
0.58	100	16,564
0.57	30	16,594

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ragutwo	Yes	2,618.59
Rex416	Yes	2,000
JosephIsGreat	Yes	1,000
881112	Yes	600
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794	Yes	305
ithinkthisisloser	Yes	238.13
itsjustcheddar	Yes	110
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	100
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	80
alamedamemola	Yes	60
0xbaf71a1647D89498713C1084A3F6eeFec74Eb963-1772219577462	Yes	60
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	50
Montijo	Yes	50
0x9fe1…4312	Yes	33.33
fresh	Yes	30
sibooooo	Yes	20
rocky42006	Yes	17.47
GuyFromTinder	Yes	17.11
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354	Yes	17
Dr.PNL	Yes	5.26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:14:38	BUY	Yes	0.08	30	$2.40
20:14:34	BUY	No	0.94	10	$9.40
20:14:34	BUY	No	0.94	14	$13.30
19:50:47	BUY	No	0.92	215	$198.02
19:43:26	BUY	Yes	0.09	50	$4.50
19:06:29	BUY	No	0.92	20	$18.40
19:06:29	BUY	No	0.9199999746	30	$27.55
19:06:29	BUY	No	0.92	5	$4.60
18:46:34	BUY	Yes	0.09	2,000	$180.00
18:27:26	BUY	Yes	0.09	200	$18.00
15:36:26	BUY	Yes	0.11	743	$81.73
15:14:28	BUY	Yes	0.1	35	$3.50
14:14:56	BUY	Yes	0.11	222	$24.42
14:01:40	SELL	Yes	0.06	36	$2.16
12:14:04	BUY	Yes	0.1075799881	186	$20.00
12:08:26	BUY	Yes	0.11	100	$11.00
11:17:19	BUY	No	0.730593943	340	$248.48
11:02:43	BUY	No	0.6468635622	386	$249.90
23:45:16	BUY	Yes	0.4	131	$52.36
16:18:05	BUY	Yes	0.4	50	$20.00
16:15:25	BUY	Yes	0.38	120	$45.60
15:25:05	BUY	No	0.649492	200	$129.90
15:19:25	BUY	No	0.64	10	$6.40
15:19:25	BUY	No	0.64	4	$2.35
14:18:13	BUY	Yes	0.4	140	$56.00