0xbaf71a1647D89498713C1084A3F6eeFec74Eb963-1772219577462
0xbaf71a1647d89498713c1084a3f6eefec74eb963
- Realised P&L
- $303.45
- Volume
- $47.6k
- Markets traded
- 647
- Open portfolio
- $44.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded647
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.33at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$53.39at 0.084Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
- +$51.14at 0.494Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?
- +$49.37at 0.030US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$46.66at 0.340Trail Blazers vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 09-18 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 09-18 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1486666667 | $8.92 |
| 09-17 12:21 | Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.0613534 | $3.07 |
| 09-17 12:19 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.97 |
| 09-17 11:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 09-17 11:13 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:00 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3883559495 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 08:04 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.243902439 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 03:50 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 03:50 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 13:15 | Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 06:05 | Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.0228136881 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 06:04 | Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |