0xbaf71a1647D89498713C1084A3F6eeFec74Eb963-1772219577462
0xbaf71a1647d89498713c1084a3f6eefec74eb963
- Realised P&L
- $429.61
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 614
- Open portfolio
- $119.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded614
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.33at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$53.38at 0.084Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
- +$51.14at 0.494Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?
- +$49.37at 0.030US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$37.31at 0.423Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:14 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.96 |
| 08-04 14:46 | Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.50955 | $10.19 |
| 08-04 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.29 | $7.54 |
| 08-04 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 08-04 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-03 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-03 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $13.00 |
| 08-03 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 08-03 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-02 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-02 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 08-02 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.60 |