PolyBot

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Traders

0xbaf71a1647D89498713C1084A3F6eeFec74Eb963-1772219577462

0xbaf71a1647d89498713c1084a3f6eefec74eb963

Realised P&L
$303.45
Volume
$47.6k
Markets traded
647
Open portfolio
$44.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded647
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.245$8.65+$2.65
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.3580.095$6.63$18.37
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.1900.125$6.25$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.1390.050$5.10$9.10
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0460.045$4.96$0.04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1900.055$3.47$8.53
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.1700.075$2.21$2.79
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0790.029$1.87$3.13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$1.65$1.05
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.0610.024$1.18$1.89
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.0640.011$0.86$4.14
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.0490.005$0.51$4.49
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.002$0.30$0.70
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.001$0.22$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 21:11Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.09$1.08
09-18 10:50Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.14$4.20
09-18 10:49Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.1486666667$8.92
09-17 12:21Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.0613534$3.07
09-17 12:19Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.19$3.97
09-17 11:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.09$2.70
09-17 11:13Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.001$1.00
09-15 13:00Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-15 08:34Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17?BUY0.3883559495$12.00
09-15 08:04Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 16, 2026?BUY0.243902439$10.00
09-10 03:50Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.25$10.00
09-10 03:50Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.32$10.00
09-09 13:15Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?BUY0.1799999856$2.00
09-08 06:05Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?BUY0.0228136881$2.00
09-08 06:04Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?BUY0.6899999821$10.00