PolyBot

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Traders

Montijo

0xbda59a685875fd870f12be4e90e98fbf06b62224

Realised P&L
$2.43
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$3.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 16:18Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?BUY0.4$20.00
09-15 11:38Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.35$35.00
09-13 20:39Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.11723$11.72
09-13 20:37Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.0986580807$8.66
09-13 20:23Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.07$1.65
09-11 12:24Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.1$5.00
09-10 00:37Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.19$20.33
09-07 11:06Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?BUY0.73$23.36
09-06 15:01Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?BUY0.8038083333$96.46
08-31 17:19Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?BUY0.79$43.45
08-31 17:16Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?BUY0.78$23.40
08-22 13:43Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?BUY0.05$5.00
08-21 21:25Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?BUY0.7$105.00
08-21 21:23Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?BUY0.0134505998$1.47
08-19 22:00Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?BUY0.5$25.00