PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354

0x1894b184374ab530eacd0a55477f2253beafa936

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$154.7k
Markets traded
9,047
Open portfolio
$186.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,047
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5) · Kalmychata0.5070.770$15.40+$5.25
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? · Yes0.5860.991$14.86+$6.07
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.4190.390$14.04$1.03
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.2700.998$9.98+$7.28
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.4500.545$9.27+$1.61
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Two Move - Game 1 Winner · Two Move0.6900.840$8.40+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes0.8720.997$8.00+$1.01
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? · Yes0.3300.999$7.99+$5.35
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.2050.220$7.92+$0.52
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.1310.215$7.74+$3.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6100.725$7.25+$1.15
Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2800.445$6.67+$2.48
Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.4430.440$6.60$0.05
Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%? · Yes0.1500.335$5.70+$3.15
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner · Two Move0.7000.505$5.05$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17?BUY0.04848$0.24
09-17 21:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?BUY0.6929$3.46
09-17 18:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.2$1.20
09-17 18:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.37$2.22
09-17 18:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.04$0.24
09-17 18:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.08$0.48
09-17 18:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.0974833333$0.58
09-17 16:56Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.038$0.30
09-17 16:56Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.8716708229$6.99
09-17 14:57Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.92$5.52
09-17 12:36Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.027$0.49
09-17 12:36Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.9133333333$16.44
09-17 12:36Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.95$18.05
09-17 12:36Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.0264317825$0.51
09-17 09:31Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 17?BUY0.91$9.10