0x9fe1526ea749d97b280ffcf09f10517521fb4312
0x9fe1526ea749d97b280ffcf09f10517521fb4312
- Realised P&L
- $0.19
- Volume
- $103.07
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $11.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.260 | $4.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.165 | $2.17 | −$2.83 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.065 | $2.17 | −$2.83 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.325 | $2.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.64at 0.404Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.802Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 14:34 | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 14:33 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 08:40 | Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 16:24 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 18:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 18:34 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 18:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 18:28 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |