fresh
0xd064251efc30a38c3323e42113656144d4b8c4d1
- Realised P&L
- $-9.0k
- Volume
- $488.6k
- Markets traded
- 6,178
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,178
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.188Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
- +$1.3kat 0.749Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
- +$863.70at 0.644Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
- +$585.31at 0.219Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
- +$519.42at 0.490Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 13:15 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.589 | $5.44 |
| 09-21 13:14 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.58 |
| 09-21 13:12 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-21 13:12 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-21 13:09 | 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-21 13:09 | 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-18 20:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-18 20:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-18 20:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-17 10:59 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.68 |
| 09-16 21:32 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $29.57 |
| 09-16 21:32 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.99 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |