PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fresh

0xd064251efc30a38c3323e42113656144d4b8c4d1

Realised P&L
$-9.0k
Volume
$488.6k
Markets traded
6,178
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,178
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 13:15Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.589$5.44
09-21 13:14Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.18$1.58
09-21 13:12Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.11$1.10
09-21 13:12Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.16$1.60
09-21 13:090 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?BUY0.86$17.20
09-21 13:090 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?BUY0.985$9.85
09-18 20:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.89$8.90
09-18 20:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.84$8.40
09-18 20:01Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.55$5.50
09-17 10:59Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.028$1.68
09-16 21:32Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.989$29.57
09-16 21:32Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?BUY0.998$199.99
09-16 18:00Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.998$9.99
09-16 18:00Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.99$7.92
09-16 18:00Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.999$9.99