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Traders

rocky42006

0x85d57ae07c1c0cae93f1ed6d05166eff4233bbf0

Realised P&L
$-12.0k
Volume
$10.81M
Markets traded
7,663
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,663
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1720.875$1.1k+$877.78
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? · No0.5130.960$260.62+$121.37
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.3100.320$257.70+$8.10
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.9750.976$249.08+$0.26
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? · No0.3740.305$237.96−$54.07
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? · No0.8720.867$218.48−$1.32
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.5570.665$213.02+$34.61
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? · No0.3900.495$175.27+$37.18
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · No0.9390.986$150.54+$7.13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more? · No0.8500.815$141.00−$6.05
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? · Yes0.4200.455$136.09+$10.47
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? · No0.5400.850$113.00+$41.21
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · No0.1090.095$109.78−$16.03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2? · No0.4170.385$103.95−$8.54
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · No0.0960.080$88.96−$17.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 06:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2?SELL0.54$3.24
10-31 22:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2?SELL0.54$12.42
10-31 18:28Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.063$1.26
10-31 16:38Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.913$77.61
10-31 08:40Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 31?SELL0.36$7.20
10-31 05:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?SELL0.54$5.40
10-31 04:23Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.04$3.20
10-31 00:37CA Sarmiento vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5SELL0.65$52.00
10-30 18:34Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy Black vs TTG Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 PlayoffsSELL0.59$6.49
10-30 13:12Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da SilvaSELL0.421$24.42
10-30 05:29Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 30?SELL0.55$121.55
10-30 01:16Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?SELL0.15$4.65
10-29 16:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 30?SELL0.52$6.76
10-29 08:40Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 29?SELL0.45$4.50
10-29 02:48Spread: Spurs (-5.5)SELL0.44$30.36