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Traders

ragutwo

0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19

Realised P&L
$5.4k
Volume
$358.4k
Markets traded
1,000
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded1,000
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · Yes0.3600.585$414.22+$159.02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.3220.275$236.77−$40.04
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? · No0.5570.800$229.49+$69.67
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.2290.335$184.40+$58.33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.2090.167$165.85−$41.35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.1880.226$150.95+$24.82
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? · Yes0.1700.137$109.97−$26.64
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.705$70.50+$8.50
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.6800.875$65.65+$14.63
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5600.650$65.00+$9.00
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · Yes0.3850.215$64.71−$51.16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.2240.285$64.39+$13.68
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.1460.412$61.53+$39.69
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.585$58.50+$2.50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? · Yes0.4300.515$51.50+$8.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 01:28Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?BUY0.29$15.66
10-31 20:32Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.26$26.00
10-31 16:56Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?BUY0.3441852679$49.34
10-31 15:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?BUY0.2253795853$28.26
10-31 15:34Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?BUY0.395$39.50
10-31 15:33Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?BUY0.38$76.38
10-31 01:24Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?SELL0.127$16.73
10-31 01:20Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?BUY0.19$38.00
10-30 23:23Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?BUY0.177231405$8.58
10-30 19:57Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?SELL0.13$9.11
10-30 19:56Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?SELL0.14$6.29
10-30 14:20Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?SELL0.2443$24.43
10-30 12:12Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?SELL0.124$24.80
10-30 12:10Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?SELL0.29$33.87
10-30 12:09Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?SELL0.3033386838$47.25
Trader ragutwo · PolyBot Pro