ragutwo
0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $182.6k
- Markets traded
- 658
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded658
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$608.70at 0.463Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$437.88at 0.407Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
- +$303.49at 0.475Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
- +$288.32at 0.748Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
- +$262.84at 0.291Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:11 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 08-03 01:09 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.0405555556 | $3.65 |
| 08-03 00:42 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 23:27 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-02 23:22 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 23:02 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5326655518 | $15.93 |
| 08-02 23:02 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.532 | $5.32 |
| 08-02 22:32 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 08-02 21:57 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 08-02 18:54 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.4008052846 | $49.30 |
| 08-02 18:49 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.1324910026 | $2.06 |
| 08-02 16:08 | LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 08-02 15:55 | LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-02 15:10 | LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 14:11 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0794448557 | $10.73 |