PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ragutwo

0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$182.6k
Markets traded
658
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded658
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8140.805$188.53$2.14
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? · No0.5290.820$185.03+$65.61
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · No0.8360.840$151.20+$0.80
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.2420.335$133.79+$36.82
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.2060.030$95.30$560.50
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6200.635$67.94+$1.60
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? · No0.1500.982$52.73+$44.68
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.1020.056$32.73$26.73
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · Yes0.0480.027$29.84$23.20
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.5380.386$21.90$8.68
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3410.285$20.70$4.05
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · No0.5050.495$20.62$0.41
Theo James announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0200.288$17.63+$16.41
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.1440.185$14.72+$3.31
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · Yes0.3200.215$8.38$4.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:11Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.58$5.80
08-03 01:09Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.0405555556$3.65
08-03 00:42Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.16$1.60
08-02 23:27Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.65$6.50
08-02 23:22Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.36$3.60
08-02 23:02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.5326655518$15.93
08-02 23:02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.532$5.32
08-02 22:32LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7$21.00
08-02 21:57Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.74$7.40
08-02 18:54Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.4008052846$49.30
08-02 18:49Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.1324910026$2.06
08-02 16:08LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonBUY0.54$5.40
08-02 15:55LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonBUY0.53$5.30
08-02 15:10LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.12$6.00
08-02 14:11Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.0794448557$10.73