ragutwo
0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $358.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,000
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded1,000
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.201Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$1.4kat 0.245Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
- +$1.1kat 0.0440 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.484Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?
- +$709.44at 0.557Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.29 | $15.66 |
| 10-31 20:32 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 10-31 16:56 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.3441852679 | $49.34 |
| 10-31 15:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.2253795853 | $28.26 |
| 10-31 15:34 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.395 | $39.50 |
| 10-31 15:33 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.38 |
| 10-31 01:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.127 | $16.73 |
| 10-31 01:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 10-30 23:23 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.177231405 | $8.58 |
| 10-30 19:57 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | SELL | 0.13 | $9.11 |
| 10-30 19:56 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | SELL | 0.14 | $6.29 |
| 10-30 14:20 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.2443 | $24.43 |
| 10-30 12:12 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.124 | $24.80 |
| 10-30 12:10 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.29 | $33.87 |
| 10-30 12:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.3033386838 | $47.25 |