US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-09-30
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.030 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.035 to 0.065. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.038	824	824
0.039	998	1,822
0.040	1,237	3,059
0.041	573	3,632
0.042	5	3,637
0.048	420	4,057
0.049	5,447	9,504
0.050	35,402	44,906
0.058	212	45,119
0.060	3,269	48,388
0.065	983	49,371
0.066	300	49,671

Spread0.006Mid0.035

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.032	538	538
0.030	5,683	6,221
0.029	573	6,794
0.027	100	6,894
0.023	100	6,994
0.022	540	7,534
0.021	803	8,337
0.020	2,475	10,812
0.016	5	10,817
0.015	5	10,822
0.013	800	11,622
0.012	1,887	13,508

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.968	538	538
0.970	5,683	6,221
0.971	573	6,794
0.973	100	6,894
0.977	100	6,994
0.978	540	7,534
0.979	803	8,337
0.980	2,475	10,812
0.984	5	10,817
0.985	5	10,822
0.987	800	11,622
0.988	1,887	13,508

Spread0.006Mid0.965

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.962	824	824
0.961	998	1,822
0.960	1,237	3,059
0.959	573	3,632
0.958	5	3,637
0.952	420	4,057
0.951	5,447	9,504
0.950	35,402	44,906
0.942	212	45,119
0.940	3,269	48,388
0.935	983	49,371
0.934	300	49,671

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
anoin123	Yes	25,035.55
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	4,231.96
RememberAmalek	Yes	3,456.3
debased	Yes	1,182.32
ssccc2025	Yes	1,100
0xA9Dc3b13E78b67B7C7666B09ad8D12112eBC01C9-1761017524058	Yes	1,000
0x7018D36359Aa3bFB96BE56BeeDEeaa7cDa4E6057-1750341929310	Yes	1,000
0x4Dea843907A531aF57c370baE5F4Ae48A1696cF9-1764424350266	Yes	499.99
Numitus1994	Yes	402
0xff4b…6555	Yes	341.4
Spirit-LT	Yes	300
0xD3dE95627dE3D2Cf37b6808E46749A9c7595e9Bd-1779261135644	Yes	300
Molle-747	Yes	200.15
AAVVAA	Yes	200
PaddyAlpha	Yes	171
0x26cF19a9E29182899B9923D1C0C759caf80719aA-1771948460292	Yes	166.67
DomaDevil	Yes	166.67
0x6b0e…e3ea	Yes	129.48
LornaPredicts	Yes	109.44
coolnickname	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:32:26	BUY	Yes	0.0379999641	26	$1.00
11:38:09	SELL	Yes	0.032	429	$13.71
00:30:29	BUY	Yes	0.0389999815	51	$2.00
21:00:14	BUY	No	0.969	3	$2.97
20:41:53	SELL	No	0.96	3	$2.67
20:41:51	BUY	No	0.96	256	$245.94
20:34:38	SELL	No	0.95	3	$2.85
20:28:38	BUY	No	0.96	2	$1.98
16:04:06	SELL	No	0.95	1,100	$1045.00
15:33:02	SELL	No	0.95	25	$23.54
15:33:02	BUY	No	0.96	3,000	$2880.00
14:57:00	BUY	Yes	0.05	300	$15.00
13:01:24	BUY	No	0.96	300	$288.00
12:48:08	BUY	No	0.96	5	$5.00
12:48:06	BUY	No	0.96	250	$240.00
11:46:54	SELL	Yes	0.04	625	$25.00
11:26:12	BUY	No	0.96	350	$336.00
04:47:03	BUY	Yes	0.05	300	$15.00
04:46:57	BUY	Yes	0.05	341	$17.07
04:46:54	SELL	Yes	0.04	854	$34.16
22:23:56	BUY	No	0.96	315	$302.38
21:50:09	BUY	Yes	0.05	22	$1.10
19:57:27	BUY	No	0.96	5	$5.00
08:36:18	BUY	Yes	0.05	600	$30.00
08:35:33	SELL	Yes	0.04	9	$0.36