PolyBot

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Traders

RememberAmalek

0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a

Realised P&L
$1.04M
Volume
$39.20M
Markets traded
2,004
Open portfolio
$598.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,004
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.2980.825$179.4k+$114.5k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$44.8k+$1.1k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3570.605$43.7k+$17.9k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$42.7k$1.1k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2020.205$24.3k+$306.85
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2420.325$22.8k+$5.8k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4970.555$13.5k+$1.4k
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.3750.875$12.5k+$7.1k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4370.595$11.7k+$3.1k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2730.455$11.3k+$4.5k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3440.541$11.0k+$4.0k
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4440.595$10.8k+$2.7k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9100.995$9.9k+$845.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2210.195$8.5k$1.1k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0610.132$8.4k+$4.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:54Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?SELL0.88$110.15
09-16 22:41Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?SELL0.6803152174$625.89
09-16 00:52Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.47$70.98
09-15 21:43Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.14$697.97
09-15 08:20Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.71$85.20
09-15 06:44Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUY0.028$14.39
09-15 06:18Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$38.85
09-15 01:41Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.22$113.39
09-14 22:35Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.0514482523$653.59
09-14 22:35Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.056$66.56
09-14 21:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.044$91.78
09-14 21:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.043$20.05
09-14 01:06Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?BUY0.35$203.08
09-14 01:06Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2574967605$568.33
09-14 01:06Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1592380742$1.2k