PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7018D36359Aa3bFB96BE56BeeDEeaa7cDa4E6057-1750341929310

0x7018d36359aa3bfb96be56beedeeaa7cda4e6057

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$97.3k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$120.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0700.045$45.00$25.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.5870.215$36.62$63.38
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? · Yes0.6700.550$16.42$3.58
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2700.190$14.07$5.93
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes0.1270.105$8.27$1.73
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No0.3530.001$0.26$179.74
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0640.000$0.00$10.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.6900.000$0.00$100.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.5290.000$0.00$350.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$200.00
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$100.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? · No0.3900.000$0.00$20.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.2420.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 13:37Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0642714172$10.00
07-26 13:35Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
07-26 13:34Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?BUY0.1269518852$10.00
07-26 13:31Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.05$56.51
07-26 13:27Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0599999992$67.81
07-26 13:26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.19$6.33
07-26 13:26US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? SELL0.002$5.88
07-26 13:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.006$1.30
07-26 13:23Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?SELL0.0430597015$7.21
07-26 13:22Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?SELL0.04$2.86
07-26 13:22Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?SELL0.15$10.71
07-26 13:22Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.66$33.00
07-26 10:28Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?BUY0.0597014925$10.00
07-26 10:27Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-26 10:27Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?BUY0.0699999874$5.00