ssccc2025
0xcc6b2f9fbfb010757d4ee0ba1bf009f1992a8115
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $762.7k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.146Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$2.0kat 0.574US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.331Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.034Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?
- +$1.1kat 0.083Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 08:53 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $400.00 |
| 09-11 08:43 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $280.00 |
| 09-10 13:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 13:16 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.0356247434 | $64.00 |
| 09-10 13:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 08-22 19:21 | Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | BUY | 0.5483780963 | $20.00 |
| 08-22 14:48 | Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | BUY | 0.4987332176 | $50.00 |
| 08-22 14:48 | Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | BUY | 0.4606858847 | $55.61 |
| 08-21 20:53 | Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | BUY | 0.4188481675 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0479999991 | $49.00 |
| 08-01 19:38 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.0324250667 | $21.00 |
| 08-01 19:06 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.0313252489 | $111.00 |
| 07-29 09:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.799862538 | $854.13 |
| 07-29 09:14 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $33.00 |
| 07-29 00:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $81.00 |