PolyBot

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Traders

Karayama

0x788714d71ce1fabb8cfd6f67e4b3f4305b417850

Realised P&L
$94.72
Volume
$36.5k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$524.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.080$192.00−$113.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1400.095$95.00−$45.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.055$78.10−$21.30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$65.00−$15.00
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.165$64.48+$21.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0500.046$23.25−$1.75
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.037$4.18−$2.60
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0310.030$0.92−$0.02
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? · Yes0.1200.040$0.84−$1.68
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.009$0.23−$0.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$9.00
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$154.61
Nick Fuentes federally charged? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$24.10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$23.00
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 20:26Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$0.32
09-03 21:53Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$17.03
09-01 11:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.03$6.12
09-01 11:37Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$63.40
09-01 11:35Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$99.40
08-27 16:14Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?SELL0.0317497938$20.01
08-27 16:10Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?BUY0.087$3.85
08-27 14:26Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?SELL0.0415294118$3.53
08-20 12:22Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?BUY0.0290511305$20.00
08-20 12:16Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?BUY0.0988300211$100.00
08-19 21:47Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?SELL0.015$9.30
08-19 21:45Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?SELL0.39$512.12
08-19 21:43Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?SELL0.8847462903$548.54
08-17 20:27Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?BUY0.027$0.04
08-16 04:21Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?BUY0.12$2.52