PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

718305

0xbd479e85e5759762bf1ed00530d0070d2b88dfc0

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$36.3k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$95.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1100.135$13.50+$2.50
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0900.090$10.04+$0.04
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$9.29$0.71
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0290.026$9.01$0.99
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0590.063$6.50+$0.36
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes0.0230.021$6.31$0.69
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? · Yes0.0520.033$6.27$3.73
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1060.055$5.50$5.12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.018$4.82$0.18
Kash Patel out by September 30? · Yes0.0300.019$3.95$2.23
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0180.019$3.80+$0.17
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.025$3.68$1.32
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0270.080$2.97+$1.96
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? · Yes0.0340.009$2.52$7.48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0090.005$2.20$1.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 22:04Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.0269999996$1.01
09-09 22:01Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0589999998$6.14
09-09 22:00Trump meets with Putin by September 30?BUY0.0337775709$10.00
09-09 21:58Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?BUY0.0518582539$10.00
09-09 21:58Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0896107533$10.00
09-09 21:57Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-09 21:56Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.0294212834$10.00
09-09 21:53Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.0189715048$10.00
09-09 21:51Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.013$3.39
09-09 21:46Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0332557366$5.00
09-09 21:45Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.11$11.00
09-09 21:45Kash Patel out by September 30?BUY0.029707825$6.18
09-09 21:42Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0181390688$3.63
09-09 21:38Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0191923845$5.00
09-09 21:37US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.0089017804$3.56