718305
0xbd479e85e5759762bf1ed00530d0070d2b88dfc0
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $36.3k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $95.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.026Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$177.27at 0.220Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$156.00at 0.220US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$88.37at 0.149Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$86.52at 0.210Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 22:04 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.0269999996 | $1.01 |
| 09-09 22:01 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0589999998 | $6.14 |
| 09-09 22:00 | Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | BUY | 0.0337775709 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 21:58 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | BUY | 0.0518582539 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 21:58 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0896107533 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 21:57 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 21:56 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.0294212834 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 21:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189715048 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 21:51 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $3.39 |
| 09-09 21:46 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0332557366 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 21:45 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 09-09 21:45 | Kash Patel out by September 30? | BUY | 0.029707825 | $6.18 |
| 09-09 21:42 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0181390688 | $3.63 |
| 09-09 21:38 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0191923845 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 21:37 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.0089017804 | $3.56 |