PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

718305

0xbd479e85e5759762bf1ed00530d0070d2b88dfc0

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$36.3k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$58.68

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.0990.200$20.20+$10.20
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0900.121$13.56+$3.56
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$8.50−$2.50
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1060.048$4.80−$5.82
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.032$4.74−$0.26
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0290.007$2.38−$7.62
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0220.033$1.65+$0.53
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes0.0230.005$1.65−$5.35
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0270.032$1.20+$0.19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$5.00
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 22:04Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.0269999996$1.01
09-09 22:01Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0589999998$6.14
09-09 22:00Trump meets with Putin by September 30?BUY0.0337775709$10.00
09-09 21:58Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?BUY0.0518582539$10.00
09-09 21:58Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0896107533$10.00
09-09 21:57Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-09 21:56Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.0294212834$10.00
09-09 21:53Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.0189715048$10.00
09-09 21:51Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.013$3.39
09-09 21:46Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0332557366$5.00
09-09 21:45Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.11$11.00
09-09 21:45Kash Patel out by September 30?BUY0.029707825$6.18
09-09 21:42Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0181390688$3.63
09-09 21:38Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0191923845$5.00
09-09 21:37US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.0089017804$3.56