Nadmi
0xe154165732b79548f7533fc45168b102dd7a0b7f
- Realised P&L
- $190.2k
- Volume
- $17.74M
- Markets traded
- 5,289
- Open portfolio
- $66.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,289
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.030Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$8.5kat 0.179Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
- +$6.9kat 0.203Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
- +$5.6kat 0.007Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
- +$5.4kat 0.053Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:20 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.0092088544 | $62.30 |
| 08-02 02:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $102.57 |
| 08-01 11:11 | Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.53 |
| 08-01 10:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.08 |
| 07-31 15:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.15 |
| 07-31 14:49 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0072043353 | $19.01 |
| 07-31 14:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0162142857 | $9.08 |
| 07-31 14:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.022 | $45.31 |
| 07-31 07:09 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 07-31 06:14 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $279.99 |
| 07-31 02:02 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $60.80 |
| 07-30 12:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.52 |
| 07-27 16:01 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.285 | $7.15 |
| 07-27 16:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.2670810807 | $717.31 |
| 07-27 09:14 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |