Nadmi
0xe154165732b79548f7533fc45168b102dd7a0b7f
- Realised P&L
- $165.4k
- Volume
- $20.23M
- Markets traded
- 5,630
- Open portfolio
- $51.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,630
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.2kat 0.341Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5
- +$11.8kat 0.304Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?
- +$9.7kat 0.030Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$9.6kat 0.164Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.5kat 0.178Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:43 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 08-24 04:09 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $475.01 |
| 08-24 04:08 | Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.9770163421 | $1.5k |
| 08-23 06:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August? | SELL | 0.0805454545 | $17.72 |
| 08-23 02:32 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) | SELL | 0.22 | $23.43 |
| 08-21 09:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.5260502639 | $206.28 |
| 08-21 09:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | SELL | 0.2561997115 | $310.82 |
| 08-21 02:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? | SELL | 0.389892448 | $487.37 |
| 08-18 14:01 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 08-18 13:49 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | SELL | 0.0406747817 | $27.12 |
| 08-18 13:46 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | SELL | 0.11 | $11.90 |
| 08-18 13:41 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $23.03 |
| 08-18 08:42 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.45 |
| 08-17 05:12 | Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.16 | $13.48 |
| 08-14 03:07 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.010480371 | $4.03 |