PolyBot

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Traders

Nadmi

0xe154165732b79548f7533fc45168b102dd7a0b7f

Realised P&L
$165.4k
Volume
$20.23M
Markets traded
5,630
Open portfolio
$51.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,630
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.5620.885$17.7k+$6.5k
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.5720.929$12.5k+$4.8k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No0.4870.854$2.6k+$1.1k
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.4250.750$2.1k+$913.59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.6000.838$2.1k+$593.75
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · No0.7420.944$1.1k+$244.98
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1940.541$1.1k+$681.58
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.5000.921$921.50+$421.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5290.525$918.53$7.39
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1730.265$768.09+$267.49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0440.445$667.50+$601.08
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0870.154$540.73+$234.53
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4250.445$444.99+$20.00
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · No0.7850.875$429.11+$44.36
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0290.115$398.54+$296.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:43Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31?SELL0.53$10.60
08-24 04:09Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.95$475.01
08-24 04:08Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.9770163421$1.5k
08-23 06:06Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August?SELL0.0805454545$17.72
08-23 02:32Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)SELL0.22$23.43
08-21 09:18Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?SELL0.5260502639$206.28
08-21 09:18Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?SELL0.2561997115$310.82
08-21 02:17Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?SELL0.389892448$487.37
08-18 14:01Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?SELL0.05$2.50
08-18 13:49Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?SELL0.0406747817$27.12
08-18 13:46Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31SELL0.11$11.90
08-18 13:41Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?SELL0.43$23.03
08-18 08:42Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.01$0.45
08-17 05:12Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?SELL0.16$13.48
08-14 03:07Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.010480371$4.03