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0x4Dea843907A531aF57c370baE5F4Ae48A1696cF9-1764424350266

0x4dea843907a531af57c370bae5f4ae48a1696cf9

Realised P&L
$-18.66
Volume
$50.6k
Markets traded
412
Open portfolio
$33.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded412
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0700.035$17.50$17.50
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.003$8.87+$0.78
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0440.025$7.35$5.85
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$8.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? · No0.4100.000$0.00$8.20
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$17.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · No0.3300.000$0.00$6.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 13:13Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.044$13.20
07-24 08:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.51$10.20
07-23 21:03US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.07$35.00
07-23 21:03US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? BUY0.008$8.00
07-23 20:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.33$6.60
07-23 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.46$9.20
07-23 20:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.41$8.20
07-23 20:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.32$3.20
07-23 20:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.33$6.60
07-23 20:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?SELL0.39$7.80
07-23 20:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.31$15.50
07-23 20:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?SELL0.15$15.00
07-23 17:50Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$4.00
07-23 17:48Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$1.10
07-23 17:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.31$6.20
Trader 0x4Dea843907A531aF57c370baE5F4Ae48A1696cF9-1764424350266 · PolyBot