PolyBot

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Traders

0x4Dea843907A531aF57c370baE5F4Ae48A1696cF9-1764424350266

0x4dea843907a531af57c370bae5f4ae48a1696cf9

Realised P&L
$-28.98
Volume
$54.2k
Markets traded
414
Open portfolio
$2.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded414
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0700.004$2.00$33.00
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$8.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? · No0.4100.000$0.00$8.20
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$17.50
Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.2100.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · No0.3300.000$0.00$6.60
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$13.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 19:43Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?BUY0.209999974$5.00
09-05 19:40Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
09-05 19:39Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.004130487$14.66
08-01 13:13Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.044$13.20
07-24 08:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.51$10.20
07-23 21:03US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.07$35.00
07-23 21:03US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? BUY0.008$8.00
07-23 20:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.33$6.60
07-23 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.46$9.20
07-23 20:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.41$8.20
07-23 20:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.32$3.20
07-23 20:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.33$6.60
07-23 20:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?SELL0.39$7.80
07-23 20:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.31$15.50
07-23 20:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?SELL0.15$15.00