debased
0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
- Realised P&L
- $1.49M
- Volume
- $516.03M
- Markets traded
- 4,373
- Open portfolio
- $653.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,373
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.11Mat 0.004Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$999.8kat 0.001Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$890.5kat 0.001US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$843.3kat 0.029Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
- +$649.6kat 0.001Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $186.98 |
| 08-02 22:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.34 | $84.87 |
| 08-02 08:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 00:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $399.96 |
| 08-02 00:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $174.25 |
| 08-02 00:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $109.25 |
| 08-01 23:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.049796334 | $122.25 |
| 08-01 23:53 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $70.58 |
| 08-01 21:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $393.94 |
| 08-01 19:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $321.37 |
| 08-01 19:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.4k |
| 07-30 23:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $10.41 |
| 07-30 23:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $13.88 |
| 07-30 22:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $57.39 |
| 07-30 18:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $273.74 |