debased
0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
- Realised P&L
- $1.49M
- Volume
- $517.34M
- Markets traded
- 4,404
- Open portfolio
- $697.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,404
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.89Mat 0.001Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$2.11Mat 0.004Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$1.54Mat 0.012Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$1.03Mat 0.070Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$990.1kat 0.005Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.008 | $131.47 |
| 09-15 21:41 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 09-15 17:43 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $778.05 |
| 09-15 17:40 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $11.73 |
| 09-14 20:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.1k |
| 09-14 16:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1674429819 | $137.51 |
| 09-13 19:24 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8935184518 | $992.70 |
| 09-11 19:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.81 | $405.00 |
| 09-11 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.81 | $69.81 |
| 09-11 13:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $422.18 |
| 09-11 12:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 12:50 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | BUY | 0.1374131856 | $110.36 |
| 09-11 12:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.23 | $536.59 |
| 09-11 12:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $30.17 |
| 09-11 12:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $20.17 |