0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794
0xb886580698ede4b18de3e446b2d8da8bcedd81b3
- Realised P&L
- $34.7k
- Volume
- $145.64M
- Markets traded
- 1,541
- Open portfolio
- $73.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,541
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.6kat 0.316Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$20.9kat 0.053Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
- +$17.9kat 0.499US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$12.2kat 0.049Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.8kat 0.701Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:40 | Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $19.94 |
| 10-09 09:40 | Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 10-09 09:39 | Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $118.89 |
| 10-09 09:39 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $189.03 |
| 10-09 09:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $355.52 |
| 10-09 09:36 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.98 |
| 10-09 09:35 | Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $11.73 |
| 10-09 09:35 | Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 09:34 | Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $31.67 |
| 10-09 09:33 | Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 09:32 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $51.11 |
| 10-09 09:32 | Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $13.13 |
| 10-09 09:26 | Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0015789208 | $18.79 |
| 10-09 09:24 | Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 09:23 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.26 |