0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794
0xb886580698ede4b18de3e446b2d8da8bcedd81b3
- Realised P&L
- $-42.2k
- Volume
- $144.30M
- Markets traded
- 1,528
- Open portfolio
- $102.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,528
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.6kat 0.316Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$20.9kat 0.053Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
- +$17.9kat 0.499US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$12.2kat 0.049Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.8kat 0.701Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 10:05 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.99 |
| 09-07 20:53 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.71 |
| 09-05 14:31 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $6.66 |
| 09-05 09:09 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.33 |
| 09-03 09:13 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $14.80 |
| 09-03 00:02 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $163.90 |
| 09-02 22:39 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $29.04 |
| 09-02 22:37 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.99 |
| 09-01 17:31 | Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.48 |
| 09-01 17:31 | Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.34 |
| 08-27 20:00 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.99 |
| 08-27 20:00 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $27.07 |
| 08-27 19:57 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.53 |
| 08-27 19:56 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $45.00 |
| 08-19 11:55 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $104.75 |