PolyBot

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Traders

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794

0xb886580698ede4b18de3e446b2d8da8bcedd81b3

Realised P&L
$-42.2k
Volume
$144.30M
Markets traded
1,528
Open portfolio
$102.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,528
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0780.039$22.7k$22.7k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2240.165$20.2k$7.2k
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3340.145$10.7k$13.9k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3230.185$7.4k$5.5k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4010.225$6.7k$5.2k
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1730.115$6.2k$3.1k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1750.070$4.0k$6.1k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0610.055$4.0k$461.06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1230.064$2.8k$2.6k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1150.040$1.9k$3.5k
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1240.080$1.6k$883.74
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2160.115$1.5k$1.3k
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1850.135$1.1k$429.49
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.004$948.70$219.26
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1370.065$763.20$847.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 10:05Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.01$3.99
09-07 20:53Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$8.71
09-05 14:31Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.012$6.66
09-05 09:09Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.012$5.33
09-03 09:13Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$14.80
09-03 00:02Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$163.90
09-02 22:39Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$29.04
09-02 22:37Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$15.99
09-01 17:31Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.002$0.48
09-01 17:31Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.002$5.34
08-27 20:00Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.99
08-27 20:00Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$27.07
08-27 19:57Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.011$0.53
08-27 19:56Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.011$45.00
08-19 11:55Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.012$104.75