PolyBot

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Traders

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794

0xb886580698ede4b18de3e446b2d8da8bcedd81b3

Realised P&L
$34.7k
Volume
$145.64M
Markets traded
1,541
Open portfolio
$73.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,541
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2240.175$21.0k−$5.9k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0780.018$10.8k−$34.7k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3230.185$7.4k−$5.5k
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3340.085$6.3k−$18.4k
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1730.095$5.2k−$4.2k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3970.135$4.1k−$7.9k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1750.045$2.6k−$7.5k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1230.041$1.8k−$3.6k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.017$1.7k−$3.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.4690.515$1.3k+$113.15
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1240.055$1.1k−$1.4k
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2160.075$947.97−$1.8k
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1850.085$723.22−$854.61
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.003$568.24−$1.1k
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1370.047$551.85−$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 09:40Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$19.94
10-09 09:40Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$0.50
10-09 09:39Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$118.89
10-09 09:39Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$189.03
10-09 09:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$355.52
10-09 09:36Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$10.98
10-09 09:35Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$11.73
10-09 09:35Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$20.00
10-09 09:34Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$31.67
10-09 09:33Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$30.00
10-09 09:32Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$51.11
10-09 09:32Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$13.13
10-09 09:26Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0015789208$18.79
10-09 09:24Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.002$10.00
10-09 09:23Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$5.26