0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794
0xb886580698ede4b18de3e446b2d8da8bcedd81b3
- Realised P&L
- $-11.1k
- Volume
- $142.99M
- Markets traded
- 1,523
- Open portfolio
- $131.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,523
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.1kat 0.316Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$20.9kat 0.054Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
- +$17.9kat 0.499US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$12.2kat 0.049Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.004Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 23:56 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $56.60 |
| 07-30 23:18 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $86.90 |
| 07-30 21:50 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $52.37 |
| 07-27 14:48 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $9.75 |
| 07-26 11:53 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.0794856434 | $1.5k |
| 07-26 11:43 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.069 | $16.01 |
| 07-20 13:43 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.41 |
| 07-20 10:44 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.55 |
| 07-20 10:44 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 07-20 10:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $411.31 |
| 07-19 11:30 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.91 |
| 07-18 23:55 | Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2873626813 | $719.42 |
| 07-18 23:44 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.322 | $38.96 |
| 07-18 23:34 | Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0041568445 | $17.41 |
| 07-18 23:04 | Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0089975495 | $47.73 |