NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.26. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.30. Range 0.21 to 0.31. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	2,812	2,812
0.27	5,130	7,942
0.28	4,945	12,887
0.29	5,807	18,694
0.30	360	19,054
0.31	350	19,404
0.33	420	19,824
0.34	112	19,936
0.35	220	20,156
0.36	78	20,234
0.37	50	20,284
0.38	131	20,415

Spread0.01Mid0.26

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	43	43
0.24	5,848	5,891
0.23	14,209	20,100
0.22	12,975	33,075
0.21	17,212	50,287
0.20	18,063	68,350
0.19	4,184	72,534
0.18	4,310	76,844
0.17	4,313	81,157
0.16	1,556	82,713
0.15	2,941	85,654
0.14	695	86,349

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	43	43
0.76	5,848	5,891
0.77	14,209	20,100
0.78	12,975	33,075
0.79	17,212	50,287
0.80	18,063	68,350
0.81	4,184	72,534
0.82	4,310	76,844
0.83	4,313	81,157
0.84	1,556	82,713
0.85	2,941	85,654
0.86	695	86,349

Spread0.01Mid0.74

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	2,812	2,812
0.73	5,130	7,942
0.72	4,945	12,887
0.71	5,807	18,694
0.70	360	19,054
0.69	350	19,404
0.67	420	19,824
0.66	112	19,936
0.65	220	20,156
0.64	78	20,234
0.63	50	20,284
0.62	131	20,415

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	158,606.01
aenews2	Yes	85,315.33
Rex416	Yes	29,999.98
LoseWinner	Yes	15,555.01
s.p.q.r	Yes	15,099.98
Outsid3rTrading	Yes	14,999.96
8dcc906a9b	Yes	10,833.84
opopv2	Yes	10,038.74
amused85	Yes	10,000
Hans323	Yes	9,263.9
Relaccsed	Yes	9,013.1
0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56c028	Yes	7,002.23
smartrandom	Yes	6,238.9
Car	Yes	5,777.01
NDeoxraGsmE7RC8A	Yes	4,599.98
0xA1D6B7c8f2271D153A60d48F5656f6Cc49d4982D-1777574009113	Yes	4,269.36
0x0371AE70577D997d71d940D10f2a7899afc93683-1771900576170	Yes	4,206.42
.yumeko	Yes	4,135.51
ShyGuy1	Yes	2,499.99
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900	Yes	2,491.43

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:43:54	SELL	Yes	0.2457796561	34	$8.43
22:43:54	SELL	Yes	0.25	33	$8.33
21:10:21	BUY	No	0.75	21	$16.00
21:10:21	BUY	No	0.75	4,741	$3555.82
20:00:18	SELL	Yes	0.25	1,040	$260.09
19:01:32	BUY	No	0.75	500	$375.00
17:20:45	BUY	Yes	0.2599998648	4	$1.00
16:49:11	BUY	No	0.75	13	$10.00
13:50:11	BUY	Yes	0.269999937	11	$3.00
13:48:35	SELL	Yes	0.25	59	$14.81
13:35:45	BUY	No	0.75	1	$1.00
12:02:42	BUY	No	0.75	400	$300.00
10:51:45	SELL	Yes	0.25	1	$0.34
10:29:41	BUY	Yes	0.2699999982	359	$97.00
10:18:57	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
10:18:57	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
10:18:56	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
10:18:56	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
10:18:56	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
10:18:44	BUY	Yes	0.26	20	$5.20
10:18:44	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
10:18:44	SELL	No	0.74	500	$370.00
10:18:44	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
10:18:44	SELL	No	0.74	500	$370.00
10:18:44	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00