PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ponydsb

0xe8dc200c0e3c71d0d96957d5488d2426e0cc3e53

Realised P&L
$-19.04
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 12:00Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?BUY0.958$38.32
09-20 09:00Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$119.60
09-20 01:59Will the Republican Party win the PA-15 House seat?BUY0.95$56.05
09-20 01:59Will the Democratic Party win the OH-05 House seat?BUY0.95$59.85
09-20 01:59Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat?BUY0.92$59.80
09-20 01:59Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?BUY0.91$60.06
09-19 09:00Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.96$93.12
09-19 06:00Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?BUY0.963$90.52
09-19 03:00Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?BUY0.911$27.33
09-18 21:00Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?BUY0.88$146.96
09-18 18:00Will the Democratic Party win the GA-14 House seat?BUY0.95$79.80
09-18 16:15Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?BUY0.969$80.43
09-18 16:15Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?BUY0.959$52.74
09-18 16:15Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?BUY0.96$79.68
09-18 16:15Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat?BUY0.94$79.90