ponydsb
0xe8dc200c0e3c71d0d96957d5488d2426e0cc3e53
- Realised P&L
- $-19.04
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.70at 0.913Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?
- +$0.04at 0.806Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?
- +$0.00at 0.920Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.45at 0.930Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$-1.12at 0.922Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 12:00 | Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.958 | $38.32 |
| 09-20 09:00 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $119.60 |
| 09-20 01:59 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $56.05 |
| 09-20 01:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $59.85 |
| 09-20 01:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $59.80 |
| 09-20 01:59 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $60.06 |
| 09-19 09:00 | Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $93.12 |
| 09-19 06:00 | Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $90.52 |
| 09-19 03:00 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | BUY | 0.911 | $27.33 |
| 09-18 21:00 | Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $146.96 |
| 09-18 18:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $79.80 |
| 09-18 16:15 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | BUY | 0.969 | $80.43 |
| 09-18 16:15 | Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $52.74 |
| 09-18 16:15 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $79.68 |
| 09-18 16:15 | Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $79.90 |