PolyBot

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Traders

0x0371AE70577D997d71d940D10f2a7899afc93683-1771900576170

0x0371ae70577d997d71d940d10f2a7899afc93683

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$59.5k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2190.255$1.1k+$151.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.2801.000$1.0k+$720.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2670.165$447.00$275.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2060.065$315.25$684.74
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1350.052$105.00$165.00
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.2850.133$77.77$89.07
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.2370.060$43.74$129.11
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1110.018$14.61$72.92
Fight to Go the Distance? · No0.5700.000$0.00$5.91
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev0.7360.000$0.00$395.50
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$70.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 04:58Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.0765430814$62.90
05-10 04:56NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0289832853$23.22
05-10 04:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2199999992$200.00
05-10 04:36UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.81$30.50
05-10 03:21Fight to Go the Distance?SELL0.71$72.22
05-10 03:19Fight to Go the Distance?SELL0.71$54.17
05-10 03:07Fight to Go the Distance?SELL0.72$97.65
05-09 23:36Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.16$200.00
05-09 23:33Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.6912044237$500.00
04-17 18:44Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.1036552326$58.23
04-17 04:03Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.17$1.70
04-12 18:16Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.68$5.47
04-12 17:12Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.85$170.00
04-12 17:12Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.85$170.00
04-12 17:12Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.84$35.28