goatboss
0x56e772f5083ffeff8518ba4dc6e809c60ca6cf24
- Realised P&L
- $-272.09
- Volume
- $148.4k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $11.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.501US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$594.00at 0.188US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
- +$348.87at 0.786US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$226.09at 0.304Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
- +$103.75at 0.736US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 06:40 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 09-23 17:10 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.248 | $1.24 |
| 09-23 17:05 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.91 |
| 09-23 17:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 09-23 17:01 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.63 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.32 |
| 09-23 16:57 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $170.00 |
| 09-23 16:55 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $108.00 |
| 09-23 16:54 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 09-23 03:19 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $94.77 |
| 09-23 03:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $25.80 |
| 09-23 02:29 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.121 | $72.60 |
| 09-23 02:26 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $16.06 |
| 09-22 18:37 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 09-22 15:21 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $165.00 |