PolyBot

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Traders

goatboss

0x56e772f5083ffeff8518ba4dc6e809c60ca6cf24

Realised P&L
$-272.09
Volume
$148.4k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$11.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.4640.805$2.3k+$974.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1540.145$1.3k−$81.04
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · No0.1780.267$843.98+$280.54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3080.305$793.01−$8.98
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1150.103$679.99−$72.34
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.7500.845$591.50+$66.50
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1300.125$552.62−$24.09
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1350.105$544.45−$154.44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1720.185$481.00+$35.00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.1170.115$463.06−$9.84
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1690.165$363.00−$9.00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.4680.435$350.06−$26.39
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.115$340.40−$14.80
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2850.235$317.25−$67.77
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1990.095$285.00−$313.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 06:40Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.22$44.00
09-23 17:10Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.248$1.24
09-23 17:05NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.1$2.91
09-23 17:03NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$64.00
09-23 17:01Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.038$1.63
09-23 17:00Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$8.32
09-23 16:57NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$170.00
09-23 16:55Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$108.00
09-23 16:54Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.18$36.00
09-23 03:19NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$94.77
09-23 03:17Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.43$25.80
09-23 02:29Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.121$72.60
09-23 02:26NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.11$16.06
09-22 18:37Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.18$36.00
09-22 15:21Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.6$165.00