PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA1D6B7c8f2271D153A60d48F5656f6Cc49d4982D-1777574009113

0xa1d6b7c8f2271d153a60d48f5656f6cc49d4982d

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$66.0k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1940.255$1.1k+$260.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$1.20
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$90.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.0620.000$0.00$17.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$50.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No0.0530.000$0.00$11.22
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$6.05
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$36.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 22:29Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$0.05
08-06 22:28Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$55.95
07-02 18:02NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$60.00
07-02 17:57NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$6.30
07-01 07:52Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.0534516406$11.22
06-30 21:05NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$96.09
06-26 00:30Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?BUY0.005$0.04
06-23 10:16Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?SELL0.004$14.40
06-23 10:02Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?BUY0.006998339$27.30
06-22 18:39Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
06-22 18:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
06-22 18:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
06-22 18:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.04$2.00
06-22 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.07$3.50
06-22 18:25Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.33$9.90