tsihkodiives
0x6db983ff1cbc85249e64e6ccd101aaa613ba4ab5
- Realised P&L
- $61.9k
- Volume
- $104.05M
- Markets traded
- 1,190
- Open portfolio
- $268.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,190
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.3kat 0.209Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$69.0kat 0.162Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$38.1kat 0.225Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$21.1kat 0.136Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$19.9kat 0.725Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:29 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.23 |
| 11-01 10:33 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.008 | $60.70 |
| 11-01 10:05 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.007 | $19.98 |
| 11-01 09:54 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002955531 | $54.19 |
| 10-31 20:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.06 |
| 10-31 20:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.009 | $8.92 |
| 10-31 00:29 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.003 | $27.37 |
| 10-31 00:27 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.411 | $57.30 |
| 10-31 00:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $925.53 |
| 10-31 00:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $214.67 |
| 10-31 00:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $63.18 |
| 10-31 00:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $31.50 |
| 10-31 00:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.022 | $334.09 |
| 10-31 00:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.022 | $119.24 |
| 10-31 00:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.036 | $259.22 |