tsihkodiives
0x6db983ff1cbc85249e64e6ccd101aaa613ba4ab5
- Realised P&L
- $60.8k
- Volume
- $100.95M
- Markets traded
- 1,136
- Open portfolio
- $420.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,136
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.3kat 0.209Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$69.0kat 0.162Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.1kat 0.136Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$16.6kat 0.249Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$15.1kat 0.179Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:08 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.24 | $78.35 |
| 09-17 00:05 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.23 | $82.92 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.045 | $352.19 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.051 | $4.08 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.50 |
| 09-17 00:02 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.118516453 | $477.73 |
| 09-17 00:02 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.21 | $89.29 |
| 09-17 00:02 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.1997225449 | $612.01 |
| 09-16 23:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $681.30 |
| 09-16 23:38 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.044 | $300.23 |
| 09-14 18:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.40 |
| 09-14 18:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.5k |
| 09-14 18:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.5k |
| 09-14 18:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.19 | $122.17 |
| 09-14 18:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.025 | $12.50 |