EternalDecay
0x315a8942d1574ea40a5598a648bf8ab95d3fac61
- Realised P&L
- $-337.06
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.255 | $998.19 | −$1.81 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.055 | $571.31 | −$228.68 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.125 | $73.43 | −$6.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-106.56at 0.066Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:19 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1361819682 | $80.00 |
| 09-15 19:17 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 19:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2711286697 | $300.00 |
| 09-02 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0623619754 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 12:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2492901734 | $700.00 |
| 08-28 20:31 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0806044972 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 20:31 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0777371367 | $600.00 |