PolyBot

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Traders

LlamaLoco0000

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a

Realised P&L
$73.8k
Volume
$28.94M
Markets traded
426
Open portfolio
$506.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded426
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6580.639$120.4k$3.6k
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.3150.280$84.8k$10.7k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.255$54.2k+$7.1k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3940.155$46.6k$71.8k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2130.165$33.0k$9.6k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2100.065$31.0k$69.0k
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1080.125$28.7k+$3.8k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2480.080$22.8k$47.9k
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1100.055$20.5k$20.6k
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3050.212$11.9k$5.2k
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6200.685$8.4k+$795.43
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0670.064$7.0k$394.31
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0730.041$5.1k$4.0k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1680.040$4.8k$15.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.070$4.4k$12.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 12:37Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$1.8k
09-13 12:37Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$3.2k
09-11 14:05Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6562533006$13.8k
09-11 13:47NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.23$46.00
09-11 13:09NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.22$392.46
09-11 09:49Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6513165421$10.9k
09-11 04:23Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6438624685$5.4k
09-11 04:00Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6345915056$5.8k
09-11 01:30Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.627$9.4k
09-11 01:30Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.624804561$10.7k
09-09 08:09NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2352071117$1.3k
09-07 12:01Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0876211049$438.12
09-07 12:01Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.646540852$7.5k
09-07 12:01Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.638346258$12.8k
09-03 12:38China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.07$141.09