LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a
- Realised P&L
- $73.8k
- Volume
- $28.94M
- Markets traded
- 426
- Open portfolio
- $506.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded426
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$586.6kat 0.173China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$202.2kat 0.338Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$71.2kat 0.195Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
- +$68.6kat 0.091Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$64.6kat 0.297Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 12:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.8k |
| 09-13 12:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.2k |
| 09-11 14:05 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6562533006 | $13.8k |
| 09-11 13:47 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 09-11 13:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $392.46 |
| 09-11 09:49 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6513165421 | $10.9k |
| 09-11 04:23 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6438624685 | $5.4k |
| 09-11 04:00 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6345915056 | $5.8k |
| 09-11 01:30 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.627 | $9.4k |
| 09-11 01:30 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.624804561 | $10.7k |
| 09-09 08:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2352071117 | $1.3k |
| 09-07 12:01 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0876211049 | $438.12 |
| 09-07 12:01 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.646540852 | $7.5k |
| 09-07 12:01 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.638346258 | $12.8k |
| 09-03 12:38 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $141.09 |