UniversalCarrier
0x56b17d09dc4781fd49734c224091145ca9180e9f
- Realised P&L
- $-126.07
- Volume
- $202.8k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.12at 0.667NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$45.60at 0.675NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$27.11at 0.990NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
- +$16.97at 0.720Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$12.88at 0.520NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 05:09 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0798663429 | $279.53 |
| 08-27 04:29 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $47.50 |
| 08-27 04:29 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1901232 | $47.53 |
| 08-27 04:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.53 |
| 08-26 09:19 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.039 | $2.34 |
| 08-26 09:19 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.90 |
| 08-26 09:19 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.73 |
| 08-26 09:19 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.48 |
| 08-24 10:29 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-24 10:28 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-24 10:28 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-21 17:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 08-21 17:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-21 15:53 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.84 | $78.36 |
| 08-21 06:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $33.10 |