inrock30
0xd576b9ee74c58fcb913675fd9c1d14c85312d5e3
- Realised P&L
- $-203.2k
- Volume
- $5.76M
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $143.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.5kat 0.487Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$34.3kat 0.633Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$29.7kat 0.396US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$26.3kat 0.587US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$24.9kat 0.731Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 02:55 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.0k |
| 10-29 23:42 | Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.8k |
| 10-29 23:41 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.8k |
| 10-29 15:25 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $297.73 |
| 10-28 21:03 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7394178077 | $9.6k |
| 10-28 19:48 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.022 | $46.72 |
| 10-28 16:37 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.7162730355 | $5.3k |
| 10-28 16:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.7284823489 | $4.6k |
| 10-28 12:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4211935353 | $15.2k |
| 10-28 12:17 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.6823516517 | $1.4k |
| 10-25 23:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0620173913 | $285.28 |
| 10-25 22:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.378 | $7.56 |
| 10-19 19:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.5k |
| 10-19 19:15 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6316550286 | $2.2k |
| 10-08 23:25 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $2.2k |