NDeoxraGsmE7RC8A
0xa200d921cb7739451ba38fb8f3d44a90a752f93b
- Realised P&L
- $-844.71
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $575.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.125 | $575.00 | −$203.00 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$565.27 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.637 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.38 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$532.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.68at 0.597Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$41.40at 0.789Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 10:04 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.1760502893 | $31.65 |
| 10-22 09:55 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 09-10 12:14 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7896193956 | $103.73 |
| 09-10 11:23 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 07-22 18:38 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $517.35 |
| 07-19 17:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.592 | $41.44 |
| 07-16 17:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.584 | $297.84 |
| 07-16 17:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $697.00 |
| 07-15 20:40 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6375 | $6.38 |