PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Harluc

0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1

Realised P&L
$835.1k
Volume
$110.19M
Markets traded
1,366
Open portfolio
$951.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,366
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No0.9520.980$161.0k+$4.5k
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.9610.981$132.9k+$2.8k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8600.935$58.0k+$4.7k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9320.945$51.7k+$728.26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8780.935$48.8k+$3.0k
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9140.969$28.5k+$1.6k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.9710.994$27.4k+$622.63
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · No0.8770.972$27.0k+$2.6k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.9100.968$26.4k+$1.6k
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8220.885$25.4k+$1.8k
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · No0.9250.956$25.2k+$813.77
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9180.935$22.5k+$395.93
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9590.971$21.7k+$269.85
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8250.885$21.6k+$1.5k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.8950.960$21.5k+$1.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:11Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.15$1.05
09-17 00:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.07$70.00
09-16 23:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.961$371.73
09-16 23:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.992$2.3k
09-16 23:29Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.93$73.44
09-16 23:05Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.76$132.24
09-16 23:04US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.89$952.19
09-16 19:25Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?BUY0.934$94.33
09-16 19:11Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.9$362.49
09-16 18:18Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7179$71.79
09-16 16:26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$605.56
09-16 15:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.999$60.2k
09-16 09:00Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.45$4.50
09-16 08:43Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?BUY0.92$2.5k
09-16 07:34US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.84$9.24