tetrase
0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1
- Realised P&L
- $973.3k
- Volume
- $117.57M
- Markets traded
- 1,642
- Open portfolio
- $1.07M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,642
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.4kat 0.485US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$162.2kat 0.001MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$76.9kat 0.039Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$74.9kat 0.710US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$54.3kat 0.002Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:17 | Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.76 | $760.00 |
| 11-01 19:07 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.946 | $32.16 |
| 11-01 19:05 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.939 | $469.50 |
| 11-01 18:36 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.958 | $159.02 |
| 11-01 18:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $6.20 |
| 11-01 18:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $11.30 |
| 11-01 18:30 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.963 | $527.15 |
| 11-01 18:20 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 11-01 17:11 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $190.82 |
| 11-01 16:37 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 11-01 16:37 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.52 |
| 11-01 16:37 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 11-01 16:36 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $236.03 |
| 11-01 16:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $399.96 |
| 11-01 15:59 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |