PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.043. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.031. Range 0.004 to 0.043. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0437070
0.0442595
0.047110205
0.048100305
0.061102407
0.071160567
0.1199576
0.12050626
0.1399635
0.14020655
0.7397662
0.74040702

Spread0.001Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0422,8212,821
0.039202,841
0.038202,861
0.0371222,983
0.006173,000
0.0051183,118
0.0043693,486
0.0038744,360
0.0022,3516,711
0.0019,71216,423

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9582,8212,821
0.961202,841
0.962202,861
0.9631222,983
0.994173,000
0.9951183,118
0.9963693,486
0.9978744,360
0.9982,3516,711
0.9999,71216,423

Spread0.001Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9577070
0.9562595
0.953110205
0.952100305
0.939102407
0.929160567
0.8819576
0.88050626
0.8619635
0.86020655
0.2617662
0.26040702

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AiBirdYes939.83
Dr.PNLYes537.39
viniiYes509.02
AJSVYes453.36
tradetosurvive1Yes318.09
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes160
youtube-traderYes144.78
Numitus1994Yes102
bobrenokliYes100
Bsau4Yes97.02
qbugYes70
Johnny-WorkerYes50
napamenYes50
monoclithYes40
ACaraYes34.97
PPMTYes29.96
smarterstratYes20
GuyFromTinderYes19.99
HerrieDavisYes14.62
.MentheYes7.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:57:39SELLYes0.0429$0.36
01:47:53SELLNo0.9585$4.79
18:08:50SELLYes0.0045$0.02
00:45:08SELLYes0.03420$0.68
09:45:29SELLNo0.9578$7.66
09:44:29SELLYes0.03430$1.02
18:32:57BUYYes0.032022723256$1.80
18:32:57BUYNo0.9991$1.00
18:32:50BUYYes0.0102510106453$4.64
04:34:20SELLNo0.9921$1.00
03:49:21SELLYes0.0016$0.01
03:49:18SELLYes0.0027$0.01
03:49:15SELLYes0.0020533385257$0.53
03:49:12SELLYes0.00333$0.10
03:49:12SELLYes0.0045$0.02
03:49:09SELLYes0.004860283714$0.07
03:49:06SELLYes0.00432$0.13
03:49:06SELLYes0.0058$0.04
03:49:03SELLYes0.005483851133$0.18
03:49:02SELLYes0.005384460785$0.46
03:49:00SELLYes0.00646$0.27
03:48:57SELLYes0.01105$1.05
03:48:56SELLYes0.01670$1.12
13:57:05SELLYes0.01150720$0.23
17:18:43SELLNo0.95220$19.04