bobrenokli
0x8a08129a564690eba62f19b34a37bdfdb89a0eec
- Realised P&L
- $616.58
- Volume
- $515.1k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $91.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.27at 0.030World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
- +$139.20at 0.002Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$48.30at 0.110Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
- +$48.21at 0.060Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
- +$42.78at 0.047Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:27 | Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | SELL | 0.103 | $4.12 |
| 10-30 10:38 | Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | SELL | 0.1026432787 | $6.26 |
| 10-30 10:37 | Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | SELL | 0.103 | $7.83 |
| 10-30 06:12 | Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | BUY | 0.099 | $2.09 |
| 10-30 06:12 | Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | BUY | 0.0890469231 | $1.16 |
| 10-30 05:56 | Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.01 |
| 10-22 11:42 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $12.21 |
| 10-18 06:58 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $10.79 |
| 10-06 17:00 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $81.56 |
| 09-24 06:40 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.1663856231 | $4.95 |
| 09-23 15:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-23 09:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.25 |
| 09-22 23:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 09-21 07:01 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $15.20 |