bobrenokli
0x8a08129a564690eba62f19b34a37bdfdb89a0eec
- Realised P&L
- $556.86
- Volume
- $491.5k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $108.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.27at 0.030World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
- +$139.20at 0.002Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$48.30at 0.110Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
- +$48.21at 0.060Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
- +$31.08at 0.160Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 17:58 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0781234768 | $2.89 |
| 09-10 12:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 09-05 05:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 07-28 06:38 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.60 |
| 07-27 11:17 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SELL | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-27 11:15 | Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? | SELL | 0.1689068307 | $26.36 |
| 07-26 08:30 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | SELL | 0.01 | $5.40 |
| 07-26 08:27 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.91 |
| 07-25 14:58 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | BUY | 0.0051074515 | $3.56 |
| 07-25 14:56 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.06 |
| 07-25 14:55 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 07-21 07:35 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $53.52 |
| 07-19 21:24 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.3325 | $21.80 |
| 07-19 21:23 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3049999917 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.539999994 | $9.00 |