smarterstrat
0xe550368332fe401df6756659a3a0e8ad37466f6e
- Realised P&L
- $-8.9k
- Volume
- $604.4k
- Markets traded
- 5,616
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,616
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.00at 0.810Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?
- +$45.12at 0.530Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$20.48at 0.980Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
- +$8.15at 0.580Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)
- +$5.80at 0.710Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 11:30 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 11:22 | Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.27 |
| 09-19 11:18 | Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 09-19 11:07 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.60 |
| 09-19 11:02 | Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.1433333333 | $2.15 |
| 09-19 10:41 | Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-19 10:39 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 09-19 10:35 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $19.44 |
| 09-19 10:17 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-19 10:16 | Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-19 10:15 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.156 | $3.74 |
| 09-19 10:07 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 09-19 09:21 | Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | SELL | 0.029 | $1.32 |
| 09-19 09:20 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-19 09:17 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.092 | $4.60 |