PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smarterstrat

0xe550368332fe401df6756659a3a0e8ad37466f6e

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$604.4k
Markets traded
5,616
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,616
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7000.635$31.75$3.25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? · No0.7700.535$26.75$11.75
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? · No0.9800.941$20.69$0.87
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September? · No0.9400.880$17.60$1.20
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? · No0.9400.875$17.50$1.30
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? · No0.8800.875$17.50$0.10
Will Cracker Barrel say "Tariff" during earnings call? · Yes0.9000.865$17.30$0.70
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No0.9200.865$17.30$1.10
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.9200.855$17.10$1.30
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · No0.8900.835$16.70$1.10
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026? · No0.8900.835$16.70$1.10
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? · Yes0.8500.820$16.40$0.60
Will FC Altai be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League? · No0.9100.810$16.20$2.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%? · No0.8410.803$16.07$0.75
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 5%-10%? · No0.8530.801$16.02$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 11:30APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch?SELL0.21$1.05
09-19 11:22Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$0.27
09-19 11:18Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?SELL0.9$27.00
09-19 11:07Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?SELL0.043$0.60
09-19 11:02Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.1433333333$2.15
09-19 10:41Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.22$4.40
09-19 10:39Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?SELL0.46$23.00
09-19 10:35OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL0.972$19.44
09-19 10:17Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.07$3.50
09-19 10:16Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?SELL0.91$18.20
09-19 10:15Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.156$3.74
09-19 10:07Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.82$16.40
09-19 09:21Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?SELL0.029$1.32
09-19 09:20Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$4.20
09-19 09:17Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.092$4.60