Bsau4
0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $4.26M
- Markets traded
- 4,737
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,737
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.17at 0.337ChatGPT Outage by April 24?
- +$418.27at 0.651Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$338.00at 0.175Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
- +$332.30at 0.319Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$326.64at 0.620Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 23:06 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.5733333333 | $8.60 |
| 10-06 22:46 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.53 | $6.02 |
| 10-06 22:15 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.63 |
| 10-06 15:25 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-06 08:54 | Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire? | SELL | 0.31 | $16.27 |
| 10-06 05:49 | Will PAIS win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 10-06 05:48 | Will PAIS win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.12 |
| 10-06 02:17 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.63 |
| 10-05 23:45 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.6111156979 | $54.77 |
| 10-05 23:41 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.73 |
| 10-05 19:29 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.47 |
| 10-05 16:52 | Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.95 |
| 10-05 11:02 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.01 |
| 10-04 23:05 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 23:02 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.59 | $19.66 |