Bsau4
0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $4.15M
- Markets traded
- 4,242
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,242
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.17at 0.337ChatGPT Outage by April 24?
- +$418.27at 0.651Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$338.78at 0.175Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
- +$332.30at 0.319Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$326.63at 0.620Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 10:13 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.14 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 10:12 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.14 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 10:11 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.14 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 10:10 | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.14 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 09:32 | Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | BUY | 0.36 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 08:34 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.22 |
| 07-10 08:34 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.053 | $1.10 |
| 07-10 07:46 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.53 |
| 07-10 07:44 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.29 |
| 07-10 07:41 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.29 |
| 07-10 07:38 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.29 |
| 07-10 05:52 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 07-10 05:47 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.29 |
| 07-10 05:27 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $3.72 |
| 07-10 05:22 | Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? | BUY | 0.19 | $20.00 |