PolyBot

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Traders

Bsau4

0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb

Realised P&L
$430.03
Volume
$4.22M
Markets traded
4,513
Open portfolio
$6.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,513
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4360.425$251.88$6.43
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.6000.705$215.03+$32.02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4380.585$177.15+$44.67
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.3150.325$152.83+$4.61
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1700.245$144.11+$44.12
Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.1020.368$124.98+$90.38
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.4370.585$117.30+$29.75
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.705$108.54+$19.25
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? · No0.1200.135$105.25+$11.81
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? · No0.3770.325$95.74$15.43
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2220.520$95.49+$54.79
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.305$91.07+$1.39
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? · No0.3600.950$84.79+$52.66
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.3300.245$81.14$28.15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.1500.135$75.91$8.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:00Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.14$3.03
09-18 08:57Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?BUY0.28$7.45
09-18 08:57Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?BUY0.14$4.38
09-18 07:51Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?BUY0.21$20.00
09-18 00:15Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.27$2.58
09-17 22:50Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.26$16.84
09-17 22:49Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.26$20.00
09-17 22:33Will Ntombi Mekgwe be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?BUY0.2$1.00
09-17 22:31Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.25$7.14
09-17 17:24Will Trinidad Chambliss win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?BUY0.05$2.50
09-17 17:12Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?BUY0.16$6.40
09-17 16:47Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?BUY0.11$1.59
09-17 16:22Will Françoise Faverjon-Fortin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?BUY0.4$0.40
09-17 12:29Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.38$0.16
09-17 07:33Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.60