Bsau4
0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb
- Realised P&L
- $430.03
- Volume
- $4.22M
- Markets traded
- 4,513
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,513
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.17at 0.337ChatGPT Outage by April 24?
- +$418.27at 0.651Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$338.00at 0.175Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
- +$332.30at 0.319Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$326.64at 0.620Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:00 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.03 |
| 09-18 08:57 | Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.45 |
| 09-18 08:57 | Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.38 |
| 09-18 07:51 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.21 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.58 |
| 09-17 22:50 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.26 | $16.84 |
| 09-17 22:49 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 22:33 | Will Ntombi Mekgwe be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 22:31 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.14 |
| 09-17 17:24 | Will Trinidad Chambliss win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 17:12 | Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 09-17 16:47 | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.59 |
| 09-17 16:22 | Will Françoise Faverjon-Fortin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4 | $0.40 |
| 09-17 12:29 | Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.38 | $0.16 |
| 09-17 07:33 | Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |