PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Bsau4

0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$4.15M
Markets traded
4,242
Open portfolio
$6.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,242
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4360.655$388.20+$129.88
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.6000.670$204.36+$21.35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.675$197.22+$27.76
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1700.255$149.99+$50.00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4380.475$143.84+$11.36
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3100.355$129.96+$16.47
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.1170.165$126.42+$36.81
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3620.365$116.22+$1.02
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? · No0.1200.145$113.05+$19.61
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$107.37$6.32
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? · No0.3770.360$106.05$5.12
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.315$94.06+$4.37
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? · Yes0.1900.215$90.53+$10.53
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · No0.3700.475$90.42+$19.99
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0960.145$90.33+$30.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 10:13Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.14$20.00
07-22 10:12Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.14$20.00
07-22 10:11Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.14$20.00
07-22 10:10Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?BUY0.14$20.00
07-22 09:32Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?BUY0.36$20.00
07-10 08:34Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.053$0.22
07-10 08:34Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.053$1.10
07-10 07:46Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.051$1.53
07-10 07:44Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.051$0.29
07-10 07:41Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.051$0.29
07-10 07:38Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.051$0.29
07-10 05:52Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.05$0.28
07-10 05:47Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.051$0.29
07-10 05:27Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.34$3.72
07-10 05:22Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?BUY0.19$20.00