PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Bsau4

0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$4.26M
Markets traded
4,737
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,737
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.6000.745$227.23+$44.22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4380.745$225.60+$93.12
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.3150.285$134.02−$14.20
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? · No0.1200.160$124.74+$31.30
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1170.500$121.84+$93.34
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3770.700$118.74+$54.86
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3100.320$115.80+$3.62
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? · Yes0.2110.505$108.49+$63.17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4400.555$100.28+$20.78
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? · No0.3770.365$99.31−$3.37
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2400.315$95.11+$22.64
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.270$80.62−$9.07
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2950.490$80.36+$31.91
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.2750.715$79.27+$48.82
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? · No0.2940.790$74.88+$47.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 23:06Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.5733333333$8.60
10-06 22:46Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.53$6.02
10-06 22:15Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?SELL0.42$3.63
10-06 15:25Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.19$1.90
10-06 08:54Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?SELL0.31$16.27
10-06 05:49Will PAIS win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?BUY0.14$2.80
10-06 05:48Will PAIS win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?BUY0.13$2.12
10-06 02:17Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.38$7.63
10-05 23:45Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.6111156979$54.77
10-05 23:41Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.15$5.73
10-05 19:29Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.13$2.47
10-05 16:52Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.2$0.95
10-05 11:02Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?BUY0.13$0.01
10-04 23:05Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?BUY0.4$20.00
10-04 23:02Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?BUY0.59$19.66