PolyBot

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Traders

qbug

0xf939d62dde4db0aeb7630ed05ee167ca5120aded

Realised P&L
$-206.85
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$745.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9080.966$135.16+$7.97
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8200.943$94.25+$12.25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9250.965$57.87+$2.35
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.7900.999$49.92+$10.43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.964$48.17+$7.17
Meituan matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.9300.925$46.25−$0.25
ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.9000.915$45.75+$0.75
DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.9400.780$39.00−$8.00
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8600.945$37.80+$3.40
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.4100.610$30.50+$10.00
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7400.909$27.29+$5.09
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3100.445$22.25+$6.75
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3300.525$19.95+$7.41
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.955$19.09+$0.30
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7100.735$14.70+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:41Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?BUY0.001$0.66
09-17 07:01ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.9$45.00
09-16 11:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
04-16 11:31Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?SELL0.981$29.43
04-05 13:50Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.8999997857$3.36
03-30 06:03DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?BUY0.64$1.82
03-25 13:55Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.896$17.92
03-25 13:54Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.896$26.88
03-25 13:29DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?SELL0.39$5.85
03-25 13:11DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?BUY0.109$2.18
03-25 13:09DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?BUY0.61$11.04
03-25 13:07DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?BUY0.6$4.24