Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-02-08
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.045. down 0.010 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.035 to 0.055. 162 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.049	452	452
0.057	2,975	3,427
0.060	1,332	4,758
0.080	500	5,258
0.100	500	5,758
0.130	500	6,258
0.350	30	6,288
0.389	5	6,293
0.390	1,750	8,043
0.400	2,000	10,043
0.440	2,383	12,426
0.490	2,616	15,042

Spread0.008Mid0.045

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	30	30
0.040	7,777	7,807
0.031	1,500	9,307
0.030	1,100	10,407
0.027	500	10,907
0.024	2,000	12,907
0.022	500	13,407
0.020	5,222	18,629
0.012	16	18,645
0.011	479	19,124
0.010	112,505	131,629
0.009	3,479	135,107

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	30	30
0.960	7,777	7,807
0.969	1,500	9,307
0.970	1,100	10,407
0.973	500	10,907
0.976	2,000	12,907
0.978	500	13,407
0.980	5,222	18,629
0.988	16	18,645
0.989	479	19,124
0.990	112,505	131,629
0.991	3,479	135,107

Spread0.008Mid0.955

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.951	452	452
0.943	2,975	3,427
0.940	1,332	4,758
0.920	500	5,258
0.900	500	5,758
0.870	500	6,258
0.650	30	6,288
0.611	5	6,293
0.610	1,750	8,043
0.600	2,000	10,043
0.560	2,383	12,426
0.510	2,616	15,042

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
RektCitys	Yes	2,974.57
badatthis	Yes	451.93
0x29412927729808cAC3D26c2525C98AA9fdE8DAD2-1773478424614	Yes	200.6
AJSV	Yes	30.22
Tsugaru	Yes	25
rar111	Yes	11.05
Win886788	Yes	10
gaut6375	Yes	10
xiaxiaoqiang2026	Yes	7.14
QMG-MACRO	No	1,668.27
Ahpo	No	1,110.48
QMG-CORE	No	500
0x51BeD2f9b4C83C12f8a131Af66D7bD4373f12dF3-1761226031034	No	349.99
Elias.Thornwell	No	38.04
PPMT	No	30
0x2dE207686a6714876327Bc72F89f99714dADf1A0-1759788887980	No	9.38
charlatta	No	7.14
ghorrock	No	5
hspje89	No	2.15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:20:22	BUY	Yes	0.0498504487	201	$10.00
09:08:56	BUY	No	0.96	9	$9.00
04:34:09	SELL	No	0.94	5	$5.00
04:32:48	SELL	No	0.94	6	$5.38
04:32:38	BUY	No	0.9599999441	6	$5.50
03:24:08	SELL	No	0.9487412587	6	$5.43
03:23:54	BUY	No	0.96	6	$5.50
09:58:12	BUY	Yes	0.06	500	$30.00
10:11:52	SELL	No	0.94	6	$5.24
10:11:42	BUY	No	0.95	6	$5.30
08:48:33	BUY	Yes	0.06	300	$18.00
03:01:38	SELL	No	0.94	6	$5.43
02:58:18	BUY	No	0.95	6	$5.50
15:13:46	SELL	No	0.94	6	$5.24
15:13:19	BUY	No	0.95	6	$5.30
09:51:03	BUY	Yes	0.06	350	$21.00
16:26:57	SELL	No	0.94	6	$5.43
16:25:29	BUY	No	0.95	6	$5.50
07:29:07	SELL	No	0.94	5	$4.94
07:20:31	BUY	No	0.95	5	$5.00
16:23:38	BUY	No	0.94	479	$449.84
13:57:55	BUY	No	0.93	27	$25.49
13:51:07	BUY	No	0.9299999998	323	$300.00
04:58:36	BUY	Yes	0.07	5	$0.35
17:49:20	BUY	No	0.94	16	$14.86