QMG-MACRO
0x4755072010b0a6963d5140b4c34ba6a544664338
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.936 | 0.987 | $2.5k | +$126.58 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.820 | $459.32 | +$11.20 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.0k |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.0kat 0.200Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.9kat 0.006Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$1.7kat 0.009Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.970Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$1.2kat 0.093Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $2.9k |
| 09-17 09:48 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.3k |
| 09-16 21:57 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 09-16 06:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $496.00 |
| 09-16 06:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $496.00 |
| 09-16 06:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $496.00 |
| 09-15 20:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-15 20:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $991.00 |
| 09-15 20:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-15 20:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-15 08:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $992.00 |
| 09-13 18:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $498.50 |
| 09-13 18:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $497.00 |
| 09-13 18:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.979 | $489.50 |
| 09-12 08:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $498.50 |